Michael Busch Home Run Prop Bet: Best MLB Daily Dinger Pick and Odds for May 4, 2026

Daily Dinger Home Run Pick

• Michael Busch (+360)

Each day during the 2026 MLB season, FanDuel Sportsbook is running a FREE Daily Dinger promo.

Simply pick one player you think will hit a home run today. If your player hits a DINGER, you’ll get a Profit Boost Token tomorrow to use on ANY MLB Wager!

See here for full terms and conditions, and learn about today's other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

For today, who should you pick to hit a home run?

MLB odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and may change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.

Daily Dinger Home Run Pick Today for FanDuel

Michael Busch to Hit a Home Run (+360)

Reds at Cubs, 7:41 p.m. ET

Michael Busch had a monster 2025 season, launching 34 dingers. A lot of his production came against right-handers, and he'll see a meh rookie righty today. Oh, and the wind is howling out at Wrigley -- 16 MPH to right-center.

A year ago, 30 of Busch's 34 home runs came versus RHPs. He posted a .385 wOBA and 42.5% fly-ball rate in the split.

Chase Petty will be on the bump for the Cincinnati Reds. Petty has been tagged for three jacks in just six innings of work over his brief MLB career. Last season in Triple-A, he had just a 19.6% strikeout rate and surrendered 1.36 homers per nine.

On top of all that, the Reds' bullpen has the second-worst reliever xFIP, so Busch should be in favorable matchups all game long on a day when a hard-hit fly-ball to right should carry plenty.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does +210 mean on an MLB home run prop bet?

A +210 line means a $100 bet returns $210 in profit if the player homers. You can bet any amount — a $10 bet at +210 returns $21 in profit. The number reflects the implied probability the sportsbook assigns to the event (roughly 32% for +210 odds).

What happens to my FanDuel HR prop if the player doesn't start?

FanDuel's policy is that a HR prop bet will not be voided if the player records at least one at-bat — even as a pinch hitter. If they don't get any at-bat, the bet is typically voided. Always check FanDuel's official terms before placing your wager.

Can I parlay home run props together on FanDuel?

Yes. FanDuel allows you to parlay multiple HR props as a standard parlay or as part of a Same Game Parlay (SGP) within a single game. All legs must win for the parlay to pay out.

What factors matter most when betting MLB home run props?

Some of the most important factors are: the hitter's recent HR rate and raw power profile, the opposing pitcher's home run rate allowed, ballpark dimensions and park factors, wind direction and game-time temperature, and batter-vs-pitcher handedness splits.

New to FanDuel Sportsbook? You'll receive $150 in Bonus Bets if your first $5+ bet wins! See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today's other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

Which home run props stand out to you today? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB odds to see the full menu of options.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.