Mercer vs Citadel Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - SoCon Tournament

The No. 8 seed Mercer Bears (15-16, 8-10 SoCon) will hit the court in the SoCon tournament against the No. 9 seed Citadel Bulldogs (11-20, 3-15 SoCon), Friday at 5:00 PM ET live on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Mercer vs. Citadel Game Info and Odds

• Game Day: Friday, March 8, 2024
• Game Time: 5:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Location: Asheville, North Carolina
• Arena: Harrah’s Cherokee Center Asheville

Mercer vs. Citadel Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mercer win (56%)

Read these betting trends and insights before you wager on Friday's Mercer-Citadel spread (Mercer -4.5) or total (138.5 points).

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Mercer vs. Citadel: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Mercer has covered 16 times in 28 matchups with a spread this season.
• Citadel has compiled a 15-13-0 record against the spread this year.
• As a 4.5-point underdog or more in 2023-24, Citadel is 9-7 against the spread compared to the 4-0 ATS record Mercer racks up as a 4.5-point favorite.
• Against the spread, the Bears have played better when playing at home, covering eight times in 13 home games, and seven times in 13 road games.
• Against the spread, the Bulldogs have been better at home (6-5-0) than away (7-8-0).
• Mercer is 10-8-0 against the spread in conference action this season.
• Citadel is 8-10-0 against the spread in SoCon games this year.

Mercer vs. Citadel: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Mercer has won in six of the 10 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This year, the Bears have won four of five games when listed as at least -210 or better on the moneyline.
• Citadel has a 4-19 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 17.4% of those games).
• The Bulldogs have a 2-14 record (winning only 12.5% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +172 or longer.
• Mercer has an implied victory probability of 67.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Mercer vs. Citadel Head-to-Head Comparison

• Mercer scores 71.2 points per game (250th in college basketball) and gives up 71.8 (178th in college basketball) for a -18 scoring differential overall.
• Mercer's leading scorer, Jalyn McCreary, ranks 206th in the country averaging 15.8 points per game.
• Citadel puts up 70.5 points per game (272nd in college basketball) while giving up 71.1 per contest (151st in college basketball). It has a -21 scoring differential.
• Citadel's leading scorer, AJ Smith, is 155th in the country, scoring 16.5 points per game.
• The 34.4 rebounds per game the Bears average rank 242nd in the nation. Their opponents pull down 35.0 per outing.
• McCreary is 689th in college basketball action with 4.7 rebounds per game to lead the Bears.
• The 34.3 rebounds per game the Bulldogs accumulate rank 249th in college basketball, 1.5 more than the 32.8 their opponents pull down.
• Quentin Millora-Brown averages 9.3 rebounds per game (36th in college basketball) to lead the Bulldogs.
• Mercer's 93.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 224th in college basketball, and the 94.0 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 221st in college basketball.
• The Bulldogs rank 183rd in college basketball with 94.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 260th defensively with 95.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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