Juan Soto Home Run Prop Bet: Best MLB Daily Dinger Pick and Odds for April 30, 2026

Daily Dinger Home Run Pick

• Juan Soto +300

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For today, who should you pick to hit a home run?

MLB odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and may change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.

Daily Dinger Home Run Pick for FanDuel

Juan Soto to Hit a Home Run (+300)

Nationals at Mets, 1:11 p.m. ET

Juan Soto has a home date with Miles Mikolas, and it's a great spot for Soto to stay hot.

Soto has left the yard in two straight games, and his underlying metrics this season are pretty absurd -- even by Soto's elite standards. So far in 2026, Soto owns a .453 expected wOBA and 48.9% hard-hit rate.

He mauled righties last season, racking up a .416 wOBA in the split, and Mikolas is a very blah RHP.

Since the start of 2025, Mikolas boasts a 4.83 SIERA. A year ago, he let up 2.13 homers per nine. This season, he's been tagged for 3.86 dingers per nine.

The fun continues once Mikolas leaves the game as the Washington Nationals' bullpen has the second-worst in reliever xFIP.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does +210 mean on an MLB home run prop bet?

A +210 line means a $100 bet returns $210 in profit if the player homers. You can bet any amount — a $10 bet at +210 returns $21 in profit. The number reflects the implied probability the sportsbook assigns to the event (roughly 32% for +210 odds).

What happens to my FanDuel HR prop if the player doesn't start?

FanDuel's policy is that a HR prop bet will not be voided if the player records at least one at-bat — even as a pinch hitter. If they don't get any at-bat, the bet is typically voided. Always check FanDuel's official terms before placing your wager.

Can I parlay home run props together on FanDuel?

Yes. FanDuel allows you to parlay multiple HR props as a standard parlay or as part of a Same Game Parlay (SGP) within a single game. All legs must win for the parlay to pay out.

What factors matter most when betting MLB home run props?

Some of the most important factors are: the hitter's recent HR rate and raw power profile, the opposing pitcher's home run rate allowed, ballpark dimensions and park factors, wind direction and game-time temperature, and batter-vs-pitcher handedness splits.

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Which home run props stand out to you today? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB odds to see the full menu of options.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.