Illinois vs Minnesota Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - February 28

Data Skrive

5mo

The Illinois Fighting Illini (20-7, 11-5 Big Ten) will host the Minnesota Golden Gophers (17-10, 8-8 Big Ten) after winning five straight home games.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Illinois vs. Minnesota Game Info and Odds

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Illinois win (85%)

See the betting trends and insights below before making a bet on Wednesday's Illinois-Minnesota spread (Illinois -11.5) or total (155.5 points).

Illinois is 16-11-0 ATS this season.
Minnesota has compiled a 23-4-0 ATS record so far this season.
When the spread is set as 11.5 or more this season, Illinois (6-4) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (60%) than Minnesota (3-0) does as the underdog (100%).
The Fighting Illini have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered nine times in 16 opportunities at home, and they've covered five times in nine opportunities in road games.
In 2023-24 against the spread, the Golden Gophers have a better winning percentage at home (.944, 17-1-0 record) than away (.750, 6-2-0).
Illinois has 10 wins against the spread in 16 conference games this season.
Minnesota is 13-3-0 against the spread in Big Ten play this season.

Illinois has been the moneyline favorite in 22 games this season and has come away with the win 18 times (81.8%) in those contests.
The Fighting Illini have been a -720 moneyline favorite on nine occasions this season and won every game.
Minnesota has won 35.7% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (5-9).
The Golden Gophers have played in three games as a moneyline underdog with odds of +500 or longer without earning a win.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies Illinois has a 87.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Illinois outscores opponents by 11.8 points per game (scoring 83.8 per game to rank 13th in college basketball while allowing 72 per outing to rank 186th in college basketball) and has a +319 scoring differential overall.
Terrence Shannon Jr. ranks ninth in college basketball with a team-leading 21.6 points per game.
Minnesota's +166 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 75.9 points per game (111th in college basketball) while allowing 69.8 per contest (112th in college basketball).
Dawson Garcia is 110th in the nation with a team-leading 17.3 points per game.
The 42.3 rebounds per game the Fighting Illini average rank fourth in the nation, and are 9.3 more than the 33 their opponents collect per outing.
Quincy Guerrier tops the Fighting Illini with 6.9 rebounds per game (190th in college basketball action).
The Golden Gophers prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 2.7 boards. They are pulling down 36.3 rebounds per game (130th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 33.6.
Garcia is 228th in the country with 6.6 rebounds per game, leading the Golden Gophers.
Illinois scores 103.4 points per 100 possessions (23rd in college basketball), while allowing 88.8 points per 100 possessions (78th in college basketball).
The Golden Gophers rank 93rd in college basketball with 98.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 130th defensively with 90.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.