Illinois vs Michigan State College Basketball Odds Prediction, Spread, Tip Off Time, Best Bets for January 11

The Michigan State Spartans (9-6, 1-3 Big Ten) hope to stop a four-game road losing streak when they visit the Illinois Fighting Illini (11-3, 2-1 Big Ten) on January 11, 2024.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Illinois vs. Michigan State Game Info and Odds

• Game Day: Thursday, January 11, 2024
• Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
• Location: Champaign, Illinois
• Arena: State Farm Center

See these betting insights and trends before you wager on Thursday's Illinois-Michigan State spread (Illinois -2.5) or total (149.5 points).

Illinois vs. Michigan State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Illinois has won nine games against the spread this season, while failing to cover five times.
• Michigan State has put together an 8-7-0 record against the spread this season.
• Illinois covers the spread when it is a 2.5-point favorite or more 66.7% of the time. That's more often than Michigan State covers as an underdog of 2.5 or more (33.3%).
• The Fighting Illini sported a worse record against the spread when playing at home (10-7-0) than they did in road games (6-4-0) last season.
• In 2022-23 against the spread, the Spartans had a better winning percentage at home (.571, 8-6-0 record) than on the road (.364, 4-7-0).
• Michigan State has won once against the spread in Big Ten games this season.

Illinois vs. Michigan State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Illinois has been chosen as the favorite in 10 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (90%) in those games.
• The Fighting Illini have not lost in nine games this year when favored by -154 or better on the moneyline.
• Michigan State has been listed as the moneyline underdog just one other time so far this season, a game it won.
• The Spartans have played as a moneyline underdog of +128 or longer in just one game this season, which they won.
• Illinois has an implied victory probability of 60.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Illinois vs. Michigan State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Illinois is outscoring opponents by 16.7 points per game with a +234 scoring differential overall. It puts up 83.5 points per game (24th in college basketball) and gives up 66.8 per outing (83rd in college basketball).
• Illinois' leading scorer, Terrence Shannon Jr., ranks ninth in the nation putting up 21.7 points per game.
• Michigan State outscores opponents by 12.1 points per game (posting 78 points per game, 102nd in college basketball, and conceding 65.9 per contest, 64th in college basketball) and has a +182 scoring differential.
• Michigan State's leading scorer, Tyson Walker, is 16th in the nation, scoring 20.6 points per game.
• The 44 rebounds per game the Fighting Illini average rank fifth in the nation, and are 10.6 more than the 33.4 their opponents pull down per outing.
• Quincy Guerrier tops the Fighting Illini with 7.6 rebounds per game (129th in college basketball action).
• The Spartans are 149th in the country at 37 rebounds per game. That's 2.9 more than the 34.1 their opponents average.
• Mady Sissoko leads the team with 6.6 rebounds per game (227th in college basketball).
• Illinois averages 102.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (45th in college basketball), and gives up 81.8 points per 100 possessions (18th in college basketball).
• The Spartans rank 67th in college basketball with 100.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 51st defensively with 84.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Illinois vs. Michigan State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Illinois win (72.7%)

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