NZH - Cambridge - Race 5

Harness

11 Runners

10.9f

Unknown

Synthetic

8.6K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

MAKO (9) was a beaten favourite last start but was hitting the line well over a shorter trip. Better off at this journey having missed by a just a neck when runner-up first up at Alexandra Park prior, taking his record at the distance to three wins and six placings from 11 attempts. Can peak third up so worth another chance. QUEEN LIZZY (3) is racing well having finished top-four in each of her three starts since a fresh win. Came from wider when runner-up in the Harness Million 3f Final at Alexandra Park last start. She is a major player from the good draw. FREEZE FRAME (11) will find this easier than his last two attempts against the good three-year-olds and had kicked off his campaign with a second to smart rival three back. IRON MIKE TYSON (5) was fifth most recently but had scored back-to-back wins over this distance at Alexandra Park prior so is worth another chance.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Last start 7th (Fr7) over 1 ¹/16m at Alexandra Park beaten 10 m by Lincoln Wave (2:00.40) in 3yo+ on March 27 at $2.10. Before that, a game effort when 2nd (Fr4) over 1m at Alexandra Park beaten a neck by Ultimate Racy Girl (2:45.00) on February 27 at $2.70. Rates highly. Big chance. 1st Pick 9 Mako Jockey: Tony Herlihy Trainer: Arna Donnelly J: Tony Herlihy T: Arna Donnelly	77	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Last start 7th (Fr7) over 1 ¹/16m at Alexandra Park beaten 10 m by Lincoln Wave (2:00.40) in 3yo+ on March 27 at $2.10. Before that, a game effort when 2nd (Fr4) over 1m at Alexandra Park beaten a neck by Ultimate Racy Girl (2:45.00) on February 27 at $2.70. Rates highly. Big chance.
3	Two back was well beaten into fourth behind Miki's Deal at Alexandra Park over 1m in a 3yo F on March 13 at $12.40. Then a handy effort when well beaten into second behind River at Alexandra Park over 1m in a 3yo F on March 20 at $6.30. Nice effort last time. Leading contender. 2nd Pick 3 Queen Lizzy Jockey: Crystal Hackett Trainer: Mark Jones J: Crystal Hackett T: Mark Jones	75	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Two back was well beaten into fourth behind Miki's Deal at Alexandra Park over 1m in a 3yo F on March 13 at $12.40. Then a handy effort when well beaten into second behind River at Alexandra Park over 1m in a 3yo F on March 20 at $6.30. Nice effort last time. Leading contender.
11	Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 9th (Fr2) over 1m at Alexandra Park, beaten 13 m by Jumal (2:43.40) in 3yo CG on March 20 at $21.10. At the previous start 7th (Fr4) over 1m at Alexandra Park, beaten 30 m by Jumal (2:39.20) in 3yo+ on March 13 at $7.90. Suitably placed and can make amends. 3rd Pick 11 Freeze Frame Jockey: Carter Dalgety Trainer: Cran & Chrissie Dalgety J: Carter Dalgety T: Cran & Chrissie Dalgety	75	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Recent form below what he is capable of. Last start 9th (Fr2) over 1m at Alexandra Park, beaten 13 m by Jumal (2:43.40) in 3yo CG on March 20 at $21.10. At the previous start 7th (Fr4) over 1m at Alexandra Park, beaten 30 m by Jumal (2:39.20) in 3yo+ on March 13 at $7.90. Suitably placed and can make amends.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.