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6:17 AM

NZH - Cambridge - Race 4

Harness
6 Runners
10.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KINGS WATCH (4) has been in the money a lot of late and went close again last time over 1 ?m at this track, finishing third and 15 metres from the winner. This doesn't look as hard so he is in the right race to return to the winners' list. ALWAYS B MISTY (2) scored last time out by 3 metres in a nice return to form at Alexandra Park over 1 ?m. Sure to enjoy an economical run from this draw. This should be an easier assignment so she is sure to prove tough to beat again. DESERT DAWN (6) was responsible for a better effort last time out when third over 1 ?m here. Should run a big race. DREAMS OF ERIC (5) is in the mix following a respectable third at his most recent appearance over 1 ¹/16m at this venue. Can trouble the judge without surprising.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Kings Watch silk

Last start was third behind Mick Konstantin at this track over 1m in a 4yo+ on November 5 at $15.80. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr4) over 1m at this track was 2nd-.2m 2WNC at the bell, beaten 9 m by Change Tact (2:41.00) on October 9 at $1.60. Will be right in the thick of things.

1st Pick
4

Kings Watch

Jockey: Todd Mitchell

Trainer: Todd Mitchell

J: Todd Mitchell

T: Todd Mitchell

77---39%13/8

Analysis

Last start was third behind Mick Konstantin at this track over 1m in a 4yo+ on November 5 at $15.80. Raced better the start before that with a solid effort when 3rd (Fr4) over 1m at this track was 2nd-.2m 2WNC at the bell, beaten 9 m by Change Tact (2:41.00) on October 9 at $1.60. Will be right in the thick of things.

2
Always B Misty silk

Last start won by 3 m (Fr8) at Alexandra Park (2:39.50) beating Gotta Go Miki in 3yo+ on November 21 at $25.20. Drawn favourably and expected to be in the finish again.

2nd Pick
2

Always B Misty

Jockey: Maurice Mckendry

Trainer: Steve & Amanda Telfer

J: Maurice Mckendry

T: Steve & Amanda Telfer

76---37%7/4

Analysis

Last start won by 3 m (Fr8) at Alexandra Park (2:39.50) beating Gotta Go Miki in 3yo+ on November 21 at $25.20. Drawn favourably and expected to be in the finish again.

6
Desert Dawn silk

Fair performance when beaten by 5 m finishing sixth behind Aquila at this track over 1 ¹/16m on November 5 at $21.10. Then a handy effort when third behind Rough And Ready at this track over 1m in a 3yo+ on November 20 at $2.90. Will make his presence felt.

3rd Pick
6

Desert Dawn

Jockey: Jacob Dunn

Trainer: Andre Poutama

J: Jacob Dunn

T: Andre Poutama

74---16%11/2

Analysis

Fair performance when beaten by 5 m finishing sixth behind Aquila at this track over 1 ¹/16m on November 5 at $21.10. Then a handy effort when third behind Rough And Ready at this track over 1m in a 3yo+ on November 20 at $2.90. Will make his presence felt.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.