NZ - Cambridge - Race 7

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

7.7f

Benchmark

Synthetic

35.8K

VIEW

Verdict

SPANISH LAD (3) stuck to his task gamely here 12 days ago over 1 ¼m when finishing fourth 12 days ago. He drops back to his pet trip of 7 ¾f, and is near enough to taking out a very nice race like this. Can win at value. SKYMAX (1) made a sharp move before the home straight here in the same race as the top pick, and fought on well to hold second. She cops another wide gate, but is good enough to figure in the top 4 again. EL SPEEDY MAN (8) bounced back into winning form here last time out over this trip. He is a very promising gelding, and he can step up and make his presence felt again, especially with Craig Grylls back in the saddle. SUBIACO (9) remained unbeaten over this trip on the track when scoring by nearly a length 12 days ago. He has a superior gate this time, and he can repeat the dose. KASUKEDO (7) can't be faulted this prep, and he was runner-up behind the fourth pick last time out, when following on from a win here near the end of last month. Keep her very safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Recent form sound. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at this track on August 7 over 1 ¼m, 1.3 len behind Subtle Image with 129lbs at $8.50. The run before that 3rd in a small field at this track on July 29 over 7 ¾f, 0.8 len behind Kasukedo with 130lbs at $4.20. Encouraging effort last start. Nicely placed and is sure to prove tough to stop. 1st Pick 3 Spanish Lad Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: John Bell J: Masahiro Hashizume T: John Bell	139	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at this track on August 7 over 1 ¼m, 1.3 len behind Subtle Image with 129lbs at $8.50. The run before that 3rd in a small field at this track on July 29 over 7 ¾f, 0.8 len behind Kasukedo with 130lbs at $4.20. Encouraging effort last start. Nicely placed and is sure to prove tough to stop.
1	Form hard to fault. Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on August 7 over 1 ¼m, 1.0 len behind Subtle Image carrying 129lbs at $7.90. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at this track on July 22 over 1 ¼m, 8 len behind Prisca carrying 123lbs at $2.10. Will take plenty of beating. 2nd Pick 1 Skymax Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: G A & D G Rogerson & Clint Isdale J: Matt Cartwright T: G A & D G Rogerson & Clint Isdale	142	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on August 7 over 1 ¼m, 1.0 len behind Subtle Image carrying 129lbs at $7.90. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at this track on July 22 over 1 ¼m, 8 len behind Prisca carrying 123lbs at $2.10. Will take plenty of beating.
8	Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 0.6 len at this track on August 7 over 1 ¼m defeating Pine Leaf with 125lbs at $3. The run before that 4th of 9 at this track on July 29 over 1 ¼m, 4 len behind Above The Clouds carrying 122lbs at $1.80. Rates highly here and should be right in the mix again. 3rd Pick 8 El Speedy Man Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Phillip Devcich J: Craig Grylls T: Phillip Devcich	92	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 0.6 len at this track on August 7 over 1 ¼m defeating Pine Leaf with 125lbs at $3. The run before that 4th of 9 at this track on July 29 over 1 ¼m, 4 len behind Above The Clouds carrying 122lbs at $1.80. Rates highly here and should be right in the mix again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.