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Resulted

NZ - Cambridge - Race 7

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
9.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
10.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LOVACI (1) had been battling this prep before winning her penultimate start at Arawa Park, and then finishing sixth, without much luck, there last time out. She tries a middle distance for the first time, and with a placing already on this track at her only start, she is the one to beat. SKYMAX (3) ran on late to finish fifth last time out at Te Rapa, and she was less than 2 lengths from the winner that day. She has been placed at her only run on this surface, and the extra 2f will suit her down to the ground. Each way. PROMETHEUS (2) will find this easier than her first 2 runs this prep, and his last run was in open company from a wide gate. He gets a big swing in his draw this time, and more importantly, he has not missed a cheque in 5 runs here, which includes 1 win. A form reversal is on the cards. TARZADOR (7) resumed with a sound fourth at Ellerslie 2 weeks ago, and she will relish the extra 3f here. Include.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Lovaci silk

Last start 6th of 12 at Arawa Park on May 9 over 7 ¾f, on a wet track, 2.5 len behind Overrated with 122lbs at $6.20. Before that won by 4.5 len at Arawa Park April 22 over 7 ¾f in heavy going defeating Enright with 125lbs at $3.50. Can atone.

1st Pick
1

Lovaci

Jockey: Jack Taplin

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Jack Taplin

T: Stephen Marsh

85---34%

Analysis

Last start 6th of 12 at Arawa Park on May 9 over 7 ¾f, on a wet track, 2.5 len behind Overrated with 122lbs at $6.20. Before that won by 4.5 len at Arawa Park April 22 over 7 ¾f in heavy going defeating Enright with 125lbs at $3.50. Can atone.

3
Skymax silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 6th of 14 at Te Rapa on April 17 over 6 ½f, in the wet, 2 len behind Prudentia with 129lbs at $12. Second-up 5th of 15 at Te Rapa on May 2 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind French Thinker with 128lbs at $10.70. Can find winning form this time.

2nd Pick
3

Skymax

Jockey: Matt Cartwright

Trainer: Graeme & Debbie Rogerson

J: Matt Cartwright

T: Graeme & Debbie Rogerson

84---39%

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 6th of 14 at Te Rapa on April 17 over 6 ½f, in the wet, 2 len behind Prudentia with 129lbs at $12. Second-up 5th of 15 at Te Rapa on May 2 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind French Thinker with 128lbs at $10.70. Can find winning form this time.

2
Prometheus silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 at Waverley on April 10 over 7f, slow going 5 len behind El Jaycee carrying 126lbs at $21.70. Second-up 12th of 15 at Te Rapa on May 2 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Financier carrying 119lbs at $57.80. The one they have to beat.

3rd Pick
2

Prometheus

Jockey: Jasmine Fawcett

Trainer: Paul Mirabelli

J: Jasmine Fawcett

T: Paul Mirabelli

79---39%

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 at Waverley on April 10 over 7f, slow going 5 len behind El Jaycee carrying 126lbs at $21.70. Second-up 12th of 15 at Te Rapa on May 2 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Financier carrying 119lbs at $57.80. The one they have to beat.

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Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

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