NZ - Cambridge - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

6.5f

Maiden

Synthetic

10.0K

VIEW

Verdict

PROUD CAPITALIST (8) has been racing well at Pukekohe in her last 4 starts, finishing third there 3 times on the bounce. She has a home track advantage, and from a handy gate, she goes on top for us. ALTIPLANO (1) franked a solid trial with a brave run for second fresh up at Ellerslie 2 weeks ago, which is strong form for a race like this. The John Bell stable is hitting their straps, and this gelding can go one better. FORCE OF LAW (2) has been mixing his form, and showed pace to lead up in his last start at Woodville 3 weeks ago before folding up late to finish fifth. He has ½f less to travel this time, and could take them all the way. SCOTTY MAGOO (4) was heavily backed fresh at Arawa Park 4 weeks ago but failed to cop the heavy track, finishing last. He can make amends in this, so stick with him. OVERTURE (9) did not have all the luck in the world on debut at Pukekohe, and she would have learned a lot from that experience. She has trialled on this course, so don't risk her.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
8	Form hard to fault. Last start set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 11 at Pukekohe on May 1 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Girl Code with 122lbs at $8.20. Before that 3rd of 10 at Pukekohe on April 1 over 6f, on heavy track, 2 len behind Deep Pursuit with 123lbs at $4.10. Sure to be about the money again. 1st Pick 8 Proud Capitalist Jockey: Tayla Mitchell Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Tayla Mitchell T: Stephen Marsh	118	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 11 at Pukekohe on May 1 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Girl Code with 122lbs at $8.20. Before that 3rd of 10 at Pukekohe on April 1 over 6f, on heavy track, 2 len behind Deep Pursuit with 123lbs at $4.10. Sure to be about the money again.
1	Racing second-up today. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Ellerslie on May 6 over 7f, slow going 0.9 len behind Curved Glory with 122lbs at $7. At only start last preparation got back early 8th of 14 at Te Aroha Mdn-Sw on February 11 over 5 ¾f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Sister Cynane with 122lbs at $35. Further improvement in store. 2nd Pick 1 Altiplano Jockey: Jack Taplin Trainer: John Bell J: Jack Taplin T: John Bell	157	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Racing second-up today. Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Ellerslie on May 6 over 7f, slow going 0.9 len behind Curved Glory with 122lbs at $7. At only start last preparation got back early 8th of 14 at Te Aroha Mdn-Sw on February 11 over 5 ¾f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Sister Cynane with 122lbs at $35. Further improvement in store.
2	At the latest run did the work up front then tired 5th of 14 at Woodville on April 29 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Timex carrying 129lbs at $5.40. The start before that raced on the pace before fading 11th of 13 at Ellerslie on April 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Utopic Warrior carrying 125lbs at $20.60. Further improvement is anticipated. 3rd Pick 2 Force Of Law Jockey: Joe Nishizuka Trainer: Pam Gerard J: Joe Nishizuka T: Pam Gerard	124	-	-	-	19%
Analysis At the latest run did the work up front then tired 5th of 14 at Woodville on April 29 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Timex carrying 129lbs at $5.40. The start before that raced on the pace before fading 11th of 13 at Ellerslie on April 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Utopic Warrior carrying 125lbs at $20.60. Further improvement is anticipated.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.