NZ - Cambridge - Race 4

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

9.9f

Maiden

Synthetic

10.1K

VIEW

Verdict

BRIGHT THOUGHTS (1) ran the race of an improver when finishing third here 3 weeks ago in her first start over a middle distance. He maps to settle close to the pace again, and his first win is not far away. ARKADUS (2) battled away fairly well in BM60 company here 12 days ago, and would like to see a genuine tempo being set here. His effort for third here in June was good, and a repeat of that run would take him close to winning this. VADASHA (5) dashed home late for second when resuming here 3 weeks ago, and she won't have to improve by much to go one better here. DARE YOU (4) has hit some form in her last 2 starts on this track, and is showing steady improvement. She tries a middle distance for the first time, and if she can cope with the extra 2 ¼f, then she will be right in the finish again. BRUTAL REALITY (6) saves her best for this track, and ran a much better race when finishing third here 12 days ago over 7 ¾f. She maps to settle a closer to the pace here, so stick with her.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at this track on July 29 over 1 ¼m, 0.9 len behind Boogaloo carrying 129lbs at $4.70. The start before that 9th of 12 at Te Rapa on July 25 over 1m, on heavy track, 9 len behind Vito with 129lbs at $47. Big chance to take this out. 1st Pick 1 Bright Thoughts Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Matt Cartwright T: Stephen Marsh	93	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at this track on July 29 over 1 ¼m, 0.9 len behind Boogaloo carrying 129lbs at $4.70. The start before that 9th of 12 at Te Rapa on July 25 over 1m, on heavy track, 9 len behind Vito with 129lbs at $47. Big chance to take this out.
2	Most recently 4th of 7 at this track on August 7 over 1 ¼m, 4 len behind Did The Trick carrying 120lbs at $22. The race before that 10th of 12 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 6 len behind Diva Kingdom carrying 122lbs at $14. Nice effort last time. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance. 2nd Pick 2 Arkadus Jockey: Ashlee Strawbridge Trainer: Rachel Masters J: Ashlee Strawbridge T: Rachel Masters	139	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Most recently 4th of 7 at this track on August 7 over 1 ¼m, 4 len behind Did The Trick carrying 120lbs at $22. The race before that 10th of 12 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 6 len behind Diva Kingdom carrying 122lbs at $14. Nice effort last time. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.
5	Second-up. First-up after eight months 2nd of 9 at this track on July 29 over 1 ¼m, 0.9 len behind Boogaloo with 125lbs at $12.70. Previously second-up 6th of 9 at Matamata on April 17 2025 over 1m, on a slow track, 9 len behind Kirrawee with 141lbs at $12.90. Can only be further improved and don't underestimate. 3rd Pick 5 Vadasha Jockey: Lynsey Satherley Trainer: Peter & Jessica Brosnan J: Lynsey Satherley T: Peter & Jessica Brosnan	76	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after eight months 2nd of 9 at this track on July 29 over 1 ¼m, 0.9 len behind Boogaloo with 125lbs at $12.70. Previously second-up 6th of 9 at Matamata on April 17 2025 over 1m, on a slow track, 9 len behind Kirrawee with 141lbs at $12.90. Can only be further improved and don't underestimate.

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A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.