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4:54 AM

NZH - Ashburton - Race 9

Harness
16 Runners
8.4f
Unknown
Synthetic
8.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DONNA'S CRUNCH (5) finished second last time out, beaten 6 metres, in a far better performance at Oamaru over 1 ¼m. Must raise the bar but a win is not out of the question. DONS DELIGHT (7) did a good job to finish third two starts ago then recorded a commanding win last time out, scoring by 6 metres over 1 ½m at Kaikoura. Interesting to see what unfolds from this wide draw. Stepping up a level this time but he is capable of another big performance. RELAPSED (1) is the next elect off a last-start win by 2.25 metres at Addington over 1 ³/16m. Worth an each-way ticket. HINEMOANA (4) is the best of the rest after finishing runner-up over 1 ?m at Addington last time out.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Donna's Crunch silk

Improved last start with a solid effort when 2nd (Sr4) over 1 ¼m at Oamaru, beaten 6 m by Wat Next (2:33.43) in 3yo+ on November 5 at $4.50. Can improve. Sure to measure up again.

1st Pick
5

Donna's Crunch

Jockey: Robbie Close

Trainer: Andrew Fitzgerald

J: Robbie Close

T: Andrew Fitzgerald

77---20%4/1

Analysis

Improved last start with a solid effort when 2nd (Sr4) over 1 ¼m at Oamaru, beaten 6 m by Wat Next (2:33.43) in 3yo+ on November 5 at $4.50. Can improve. Sure to measure up again.

7
Dons Delight silk

Last start won by 6 m (Fr11) at Kaikoura (3:01.95) beating Always Take King in 3yo+ on November 1 at $4.20. Confidence high and can measure up again.

2nd Pick
7

Dons Delight

Jockey: John Morrison

Trainer: John Morrison

J: John Morrison

T: John Morrison

74---13%7/1

Analysis

Last start won by 6 m (Fr11) at Kaikoura (3:01.95) beating Always Take King in 3yo+ on November 1 at $4.20. Confidence high and can measure up again.

1
Relapsed silk

Last start won by 2.25 m (Fr7) at Addington (2:25.50) beating Beast Mode in 3yo+ on November 6 at $8.10. Chances enhanced by the inside draw. Draws to advantage and expected to go well again.

3rd Pick
1

Relapsed

Jockey: Blair Orange

Trainer: Ken Barron

J: Blair Orange

T: Ken Barron

77---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start won by 2.25 m (Fr7) at Addington (2:25.50) beating Beast Mode in 3yo+ on November 6 at $8.10. Chances enhanced by the inside draw. Draws to advantage and expected to go well again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.