NZH - Ashburton - Race 11

Harness

19 Runners

11.9f

Unknown

Synthetic

8.4K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

ROSARIO (18) has recorded two wins and two minor placings from the past five starts. Performed well once again when second at his latest appearance over 1 ½m at Kaikoura, beaten 11 metres. Tackles a similar assignment and he can return to the winners' list. TEDDY THE TERROR (2) wasn't beaten all that far at his latest appearance over 1 ³/16m at Kaikoura, beaten just 2.75 metres into fifth. Sure to enjoy an economical run from this draw. Must raise the bar but he has the ability to test this field. MAJOR HAPPY (5) is on the radar after her last-start fifth over 1 ½m at Kaikoura a week-and-a-half ago. PICKETTYWITCH (12) is in the mix following a fourth at her most recent appearance over 1 ½m at Kaikoura.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
18	Last start good run when 2nd (Fr6) over 1 ½m at Kaikoura, beaten 11 m by Tee Ball (2:58.33) in 3yo+ on November 2 at $18.20. Two runs back won by a 0.5 m (Fr10) at Mt Harding (3:07.05) beating Crunchie in 3yo+ on October 4 at $6.70. Expected to measure up again. 1st Pick 18 Rosario Jockey: Sam Thornley Trainer: Ross Houghton J: Sam Thornley T: Ross Houghton	77	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start good run when 2nd (Fr6) over 1 ½m at Kaikoura, beaten 11 m by Tee Ball (2:58.33) in 3yo+ on November 2 at $18.20. Two runs back won by a 0.5 m (Fr10) at Mt Harding (3:07.05) beating Crunchie in 3yo+ on October 4 at $6.70. Expected to measure up again.
2	Last start 5th (Fr2) over 1 ³/16m at Kaikoura beaten 2.75 m by Gatecrasher (2:20.21) in 4yo+ GH on November 1 at $1.90. Before that, 4th (Fr10) over 1 ¼m at Phar Lap Raceway beaten 15 m by Admor Ella (2:34.40) in 3yo+ on October 25 at $27.50. Sure to prove tough to beat. 2nd Pick 2 Teddy The Terror Jockey: John Morrison Trainer: John Morrison J: John Morrison T: John Morrison	73	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Last start 5th (Fr2) over 1 ³/16m at Kaikoura beaten 2.75 m by Gatecrasher (2:20.21) in 4yo+ GH on November 1 at $1.90. Before that, 4th (Fr10) over 1 ¼m at Phar Lap Raceway beaten 15 m by Admor Ella (2:34.40) in 3yo+ on October 25 at $27.50. Sure to prove tough to beat.
5	Last start 5th (Fr2) over 1 ½m at Kaikoura, beaten 7 m by Zoom X (3:02.93) in 3yo+ on November 2 at $2.60. Before that, a game effort when 2nd (Fr1) over 1 ³/16m at Addington, beaten 3 m by The Coalman (2:25.70) on October 21 at $2.80. Big chance on her best form. 3rd Pick 5 Major Happy Jockey: Jacob Dunn Trainer: P M Vermeulen J: Jacob Dunn T: P M Vermeulen	73	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Last start 5th (Fr2) over 1 ½m at Kaikoura, beaten 7 m by Zoom X (3:02.93) in 3yo+ on November 2 at $2.60. Before that, a game effort when 2nd (Fr1) over 1 ³/16m at Addington, beaten 3 m by The Coalman (2:25.70) on October 21 at $2.80. Big chance on her best form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.