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5:25 AM

NZH - Ashburton - Race 10

Harness
16 Runners
8.4f
Unknown
Synthetic
8.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MELTON MAGNATE (8) is in good form with top-five finishes at his last six starts, most recently recording a second over 1 ½m at this track. Must overcome a very wide draw. Has the class to take care of this field. SHARDS LYRIC (3) drew wide last start and was easily accounted for, beaten 30 metres into tenth at Addington over 1 ³/16m. Sure to enjoy an economical run from this better draw. Meets a comparable field and she is capable of a much better performance. EYES OF AN ANGEL (14) is next in line and although she has to contend with an awkward gate a win is not out of the question. HAPPY HARRIET (6) finished just 6 metres away over 1 ³/16m at Kaikoura last start. Strips fitter third-up and can improve. In the mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Melton Magnate silk

Solid run when beaten by 1.5 m finishing third behind Taumutu Lad at Mt Harding over 1m in a 3yo+ on October 11 at $10.60. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Ward Lamon at this track over 1 ½m in a 4yo+ on October 26 at $15. Likely to measure up.

1st Pick
8

Melton Magnate

Jockey: A M Butt

Trainer: Grant Payne

J: A M Butt

T: Grant Payne

77---20%4/1

Analysis

Solid run when beaten by 1.5 m finishing third behind Taumutu Lad at Mt Harding over 1m in a 3yo+ on October 11 at $10.60. Then a handy effort when a close second behind Ward Lamon at this track over 1 ½m in a 4yo+ on October 26 at $15. Likely to measure up.

3
Shards Lyric silk

Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Last start 10th (Fr6) over 1 ³/16m at Addington, beaten 30 m by Blazing Knuckles (2:23.20) in 4yo+ M on November 6 at $21.60. The run prior 7th (Fr2) over 1 ¼m at Oamaru, beaten 25 m by Mossdale Frank (2:25.59) in 3yo+ on October 18 at $5.50. Has a low draw this time and can improve.

2nd Pick
3

Shards Lyric

Jockey: Sarah O'reilly

Trainer: Brent & Tim White

J: Sarah O'reilly

T: Brent & Tim White

75---16%11/2

Analysis

Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Last start 10th (Fr6) over 1 ³/16m at Addington, beaten 30 m by Blazing Knuckles (2:23.20) in 4yo+ M on November 6 at $21.60. The run prior 7th (Fr2) over 1 ¼m at Oamaru, beaten 25 m by Mossdale Frank (2:25.59) in 3yo+ on October 18 at $5.50. Has a low draw this time and can improve.

14
Eyes Of An Angel silk

Last start 4th (Fr1) over 1m at Ascot Park Raceway, beaten 6 m by Ideal Crown (2:40.58) in 3yo+ on October 25 at $13.10. Before that, 12th (Fr3) over 1 ³/16m at Addington beaten 22 m by Cherish Me (2:21.40) in 3yo F on October 9 at $36.90. Encouraging effort last start and is open to further improvement.

3rd Pick
14

Eyes Of An Angel

Jockey: Matthew Williamson

Trainer: Brad Mowbray

J: Matthew Williamson

T: Brad Mowbray

75---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start 4th (Fr1) over 1m at Ascot Park Raceway, beaten 6 m by Ideal Crown (2:40.58) in 3yo+ on October 25 at $13.10. Before that, 12th (Fr3) over 1 ³/16m at Addington beaten 22 m by Cherish Me (2:21.40) in 3yo F on October 9 at $36.90. Encouraging effort last start and is open to further improvement.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.