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3:40 AM

NZH - Ashburton Raceway - Race 8

Harness
15 Runners
8.4f
Unknown
Synthetic
17.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BELLE BIDDY (15) scored a decisive win last time out over 1 ?m at Alexandra Park, getting home by 10 metres in a dominant display. Hard to know where she gets from this slightly awkward draw. Finds a nice race and will take plenty of beating once more. LEAN ON ME (4) finished a neck from the winner in second at Addington over 1 ³/16m last start at her first career run. Fitter and rates well as an each-way chance. VALIDATION (3) is next best after finishing third when resuming over 1 ³/16m at Addington last time out. NELLA KEENAN (1) must be included on the back of some solid recent form, most recently when fifth at Addington over 1 ³/16m.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
15
Belle Biddy silk

Recent efforts have been impressive. Last start posted a big 10 m win as favourite (Fr6) at Alexandra Park (2:43.25) beating Pepinyastep in 2yo F on September 18 at $2.10. Major contender on current form.

1st Pick
15

Belle Biddy

Jockey: Tony Herlihy

Trainer: Tony Herlihy

J: Tony Herlihy

T: Tony Herlihy

75---15%6/1

Analysis

Recent efforts have been impressive. Last start posted a big 10 m win as favourite (Fr6) at Alexandra Park (2:43.25) beating Pepinyastep in 2yo F on September 18 at $2.10. Major contender on current form.

4
Lean On Me silk

Two-year-old filly lining up for the second time. At debut game effort when 2nd (Fr2) over 1 ³/16m at Addington, at the bell was 3rd-8.5m on the pegs beaten a neck by I'm The Boss (2:27.80) in 2yo F on September 4 at $2.90. Expect another bold run this time.

2nd Pick
4

Lean On Me

Jockey: Robert Butt

Trainer: Bob Butt

J: Robert Butt

T: Bob Butt

77---23%7/2

Analysis

Two-year-old filly lining up for the second time. At debut game effort when 2nd (Fr2) over 1 ³/16m at Addington, at the bell was 3rd-8.5m on the pegs beaten a neck by I'm The Boss (2:27.80) in 2yo F on September 4 at $2.90. Expect another bold run this time.

3
Validation silk

Second-up here following a spell. Solid effort when 3rd (Fr4) over 1 ³/16m at Addington beaten 2.75 m by I'm The Boss (2:22.80) in 2yo F on October 2 at $27.40. Right in the mix.

3rd Pick
3

Validation

Jockey: Craig Ferguson

Trainer: Bronson Munro

J: Craig Ferguson

T: Bronson Munro

77---23%7/2

Analysis

Second-up here following a spell. Solid effort when 3rd (Fr4) over 1 ³/16m at Addington beaten 2.75 m by I'm The Boss (2:22.80) in 2yo F on October 2 at $27.40. Right in the mix.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.