NZH - Ashburton Raceway - Race 6

Harness

11 Runners

8.4f

Unknown

Synthetic

5.7K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

SCOTLYNN CRUNCH (6) came from a similar barrier to this when runner-up two back at Addington then wasn't far from the winner in a last-start fourth. Finds a winnable assignment. REAL VELOCITY (5) was well beaten last start at Motukarara but did have to work. Best to assess her chances off a maiden win at Mt Harding three back. JAZZYS UPSTART (7) is looming as a real threat after a luckless effort last start, held up before finishing third at Phar Lap Raceway. GEM N EM (8) can feature in the finish with a few good breaks from an awkward draw.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Last start 4th (Fr8) over 1 ¼m at Motukarara Raceway was 3rd-1.4m 3WNC at the bell, beaten 1.1 m by Sweet Willow (2:33.40) on December 29 at $4.90. Before that, a game effort when 2nd (Fr5) over 1 ³/16m at Addington, beaten 22 m by Sonofamistery (2:24.80) on December 5 at $50.10. Big chance to find the winners' list. 1st Pick 6 Scotlynn Crunch Jockey: John Morrison Trainer: Dean Taylor J: John Morrison T: Dean Taylor	77	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Last start 4th (Fr8) over 1 ¼m at Motukarara Raceway was 3rd-1.4m 3WNC at the bell, beaten 1.1 m by Sweet Willow (2:33.40) on December 29 at $4.90. Before that, a game effort when 2nd (Fr5) over 1 ³/16m at Addington, beaten 22 m by Sonofamistery (2:24.80) on December 5 at $50.10. Big chance to find the winners' list.
5	Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Last start 14th (Fr6) over 1 ¼m at Motukarara Raceway beaten 60 m by Jay R Tolkien (2:31.00) in 3yo+ on December 29 at $3.20. The run before 6th (Fr11) over 1 ³/16m at Rangiora was 12th-32.2m 2WWC at the bell, beaten 7 m by My Wingman (2:34.40) in 3yo+ on December 14 at $12.40. Among the chances on her best form. 2nd Pick 5 Real Velocity Jockey: Blair Orange Trainer: James Mcdonald J: Blair Orange T: James Mcdonald	76	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Recent efforts haven't been up to her best. Last start 14th (Fr6) over 1 ¼m at Motukarara Raceway beaten 60 m by Jay R Tolkien (2:31.00) in 3yo+ on December 29 at $3.20. The run before 6th (Fr11) over 1 ³/16m at Rangiora was 12th-32.2m 2WWC at the bell, beaten 7 m by My Wingman (2:34.40) in 3yo+ on December 14 at $12.40. Among the chances on her best form.
7	Two back was well beaten into eleventh behind Jay R Tolkien at Motukarara Raceway over 1 ¼m in a 3yo+ on December 29 at $5.70. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4.5 m finishing third behind Lorton Vale at Phar Lap Raceway over 1 ¼m in a 4yo+ on January 7 at $2.10. Likely to be there at the business end. 3rd Pick 7 Jazzys Upstart Jockey: Sarah O'reilly Trainer: Brent & Tim White J: Sarah O'reilly T: Brent & Tim White	75	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Two back was well beaten into eleventh behind Jay R Tolkien at Motukarara Raceway over 1 ¼m in a 3yo+ on December 29 at $5.70. Then a handy effort when beaten by 4.5 m finishing third behind Lorton Vale at Phar Lap Raceway over 1 ¼m in a 4yo+ on January 7 at $2.10. Likely to be there at the business end.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.