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1:27 AM

NZH - Ashburton Raceway - Race 5

Harness
9 Runners
8.4f
Unknown
Synthetic
24.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NELLA KEENAN (4) turned in another strong performance last start when she battled on bravely to finish second over 1 ³/16m at Addington, adding to a good second on debut at Addington the run prior. Has the ability to take this out. She looks like the one to beat in this BEWARE THE STORM (5) turned in a much better run last start when she scored by 1.5 metres over 1 ³/16m at Addington. Has the ability to take care of this field. DEVIL WOMAN (1) disappointed last time when seventh over 1 ³/16m at Addington, but this draw will make a difference, and she can make amends. JORJA (3) is stepping out for the first time. By Lazarus and hails from the Bronson Munro stable. Likely to get all the favours from this nice draw. Placed in a recent trial, and from a good draw, she will be ready to rumble.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Nella Keenan silk

Solid performance when beaten by 1.1 m finishing second behind Wat Fun at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 2yo F on May 1 at $8.90. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.5 m finishing second behind Beware The Storm at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 2yo F on May 15 at $7.60. Big chance from the same gate this time.

1st Pick
4

Nella Keenan

Jockey: Ricky May

Trainer: Steven Reid

J: Ricky May

T: Steven Reid

77---39%13/8

Analysis

Solid performance when beaten by 1.1 m finishing second behind Wat Fun at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 2yo F on May 1 at $8.90. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.5 m finishing second behind Beware The Storm at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 2yo F on May 15 at $7.60. Big chance from the same gate this time.

5
Beware The Storm silk

Last start won by 1.5 m (Fr5) at Addington (2:26.00) beating Nella Keenan in 2yo F on May 15 at $50.30. Expected to feature again.

2nd Pick
5

Beware The Storm

Jockey: John Dunn

Trainer: Nathan Purdon

J: John Dunn

T: Nathan Purdon

75---27%11/4

Analysis

Last start won by 1.5 m (Fr5) at Addington (2:26.00) beating Nella Keenan in 2yo F on May 15 at $50.30. Expected to feature again.

1
Devil Woman silk

Last start was well beaten into seventh behind Beware The Storm at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 2yo F on May 15 at $7.50. Performed better the start before where she won by a neck (Fr3) at Central Southland Raceway (1:57.57) beating Classic Daisy in 2yo on May 7 at $1.80. Looks very hard to beat.

3rd Pick
1

Devil Woman

Jockey: Carter Dalgety

Trainer: Cran & Chrissie Dalgety

J: Carter Dalgety

T: Cran & Chrissie Dalgety

74---16%11/2

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into seventh behind Beware The Storm at Addington over 1 ³/16m in a 2yo F on May 15 at $7.50. Performed better the start before where she won by a neck (Fr3) at Central Southland Raceway (1:57.57) beating Classic Daisy in 2yo on May 7 at $1.80. Looks very hard to beat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.