NZH - Ashburton Raceway - Race 4

Harness

10 Runners

8.4f

Unknown

Synthetic

34.2K

VIEW

R10

R11

Verdict

ARAFURA (10) is flying this campaign with three wins from as many starts, the latest by 4 metres over 1 ³/16m at Addington. May need luck at some stage extracting from the inside of the second row. Stepping up a level this time but she is capable of adding to the fine recent form. STELLA ROUGE (7) has been in the placings two times from as many runs this prep. Registered yet another strong performance last time when she battled on bravely to just miss out over 1 ³/16m at Addington, adding to a string of recent minor placings. Has to contend with a very wide draw. This looks a sterner test than last time but on her best form she is capable of another big performance. CHICAGO SKY (2) has won three of her four runs this prep and should not have any excuses from the favourable draw. She has won both of her only two previous starts over today's distance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Comes here in the right form. Posted a big 4 m win as favourite (Fr7) at Addington (2:21.35) beating Stella Rouge in on October 16 at $3.90. Two runs back won by 1.4 m as favourite (Fr3) at Addington (2:22.60) beating Stella Rouge in 4yo+ M on September 25 at $1.70. Bold showing expected again. 1st Pick 10 Arafura Jockey: Blair Orange Trainer: Hayden & Amanda Cullen J: Blair Orange T: Hayden & Amanda Cullen	77	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Comes here in the right form. Posted a big 4 m win as favourite (Fr7) at Addington (2:21.35) beating Stella Rouge in on October 16 at $3.90. Two runs back won by 1.4 m as favourite (Fr3) at Addington (2:22.60) beating Stella Rouge in 4yo+ M on September 25 at $1.70. Bold showing expected again.
7	Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 4 m second behind Arafura at Addington over 1 ³/16m last start. Before that was beaten 1.4 metres second again at Addington in 4yo+ M on September 25. Sure to run well. 2nd Pick 7 Stella Rouge Jockey: Tim Williams Trainer: Steve & Amanda Telfer J: Tim Williams T: Steve & Amanda Telfer	73	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 4 m second behind Arafura at Addington over 1 ³/16m last start. Before that was beaten 1.4 metres second again at Addington in 4yo+ M on September 25. Sure to run well.
2	Second-up here following a spell. Solid effort when 2nd (Fr6) over 1 ³/16m at Addington was 6th-21.4m 2WNC at the bell, beaten a neck by Arafura (2:25.20) in 4yo+ M on September 11 at $12.10. Fitter an sits high among the chances. 3rd Pick 2 Chicago Sky Jockey: Matthew Williamson Trainer: Katrina & John Price J: Matthew Williamson T: Katrina & John Price	74	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Second-up here following a spell. Solid effort when 2nd (Fr6) over 1 ³/16m at Addington was 6th-21.4m 2WNC at the bell, beaten a neck by Arafura (2:25.20) in 4yo+ M on September 11 at $12.10. Fitter an sits high among the chances.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.