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58 Min Till Start

NZH - Alexandra Park - Race 3

Harness
5 Runners
8.4f
Unknown
Synthetic
8.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NAZARE (2) is a son of Downbytheseaside on debut for Arna Donnelly. Has strong trial form coming into this so looks to have good ability and he is well served by a low draw. Anticipating a bright start to his career. HORIZON (1) progressed off a solid resuming fourth with a strong performance last start when placed at Cambridge. Nearing peak fitness and should enjoy a nice run from the inside draw. JUST US TWO (4) didn't have the best of luck here last start so was far from disgraced. Missed narrowly at Cambridge prior and will be race fit now. AMERICAN FALCON (5) has yet to miss a place in three starts at this circuit and distance including when resuming from a similar draw. Can progress off that.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Nazare silk

Two-year-old gelding (Downbytheseaside - Amazon Lily) making his debut. Won a trial on October 29 at Pukekohe over 1 ¼m. A good early push suggests he is ready to run well.

1st Pick
2

Nazare

Jockey: Andre Poutama

Trainer: Arna Donnelly

J: Andre Poutama

T: Arna Donnelly

77---56%4/5

Analysis

Two-year-old gelding (Downbytheseaside - Amazon Lily) making his debut. Won a trial on October 29 at Pukekohe over 1 ¼m. A good early push suggests he is ready to run well.

1
Horizon silk

Two back was beaten by 6 m finishing fourth behind Yankee Flybye at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a 2yo on October 10 at $16.80. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.4 m finishing third behind Signman at Cambridge Raceway over 1 ¹/16m in a 2yo on October 16 at $5.70. Big run expected.

2nd Pick
1

Horizon

Jockey: Zachary Butcher

Trainer: Tate Hopkins

J: Zachary Butcher

T: Tate Hopkins

75---27%

Scratched

Analysis

Two back was beaten by 6 m finishing fourth behind Yankee Flybye at this track over 1 ¹/16m in a 2yo on October 10 at $16.80. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.4 m finishing third behind Signman at Cambridge Raceway over 1 ¹/16m in a 2yo on October 16 at $5.70. Big run expected.

4
Just Us Two silk

Last start 5th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, beaten 6 m by Opa's Girl (2:03.90) in 2yo+ on October 24 at $10.90. At the start before solid effort when 2nd (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at Cambridge Raceway, beaten 0.5 m by Signman (2:04.80) in 2yo on October 16 at $2.10. Look for improvement on last start. Not out of it.

3rd Pick
4

Just Us Two

Jockey: Brooke Wilkins

Trainer: Mark & Nathan Purdon

J: Brooke Wilkins

T: Mark & Nathan Purdon

73---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start 5th (Fr1) over 1 ¹/16m at this track, beaten 6 m by Opa's Girl (2:03.90) in 2yo+ on October 24 at $10.90. At the start before solid effort when 2nd (Fr4) over 1 ¹/16m at Cambridge Raceway, beaten 0.5 m by Signman (2:04.80) in 2yo on October 16 at $2.10. Look for improvement on last start. Not out of it.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.