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7:48 AM

NZH - Addington - Race 7

Harness
9 Runners
9.9f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KINGAROY (6) is going well having added to a string of top-four results with a third last start at Mt Harding. Deserves another win and has the talent to take this out. TINKERBELLE (2) struggled in tough conditions last start but did a good job for second at Cambridge prior. Has ability and with her best form can be right in the finish. SEE NO EVIL (3) has yet to place in three starts off a spell but should be nearing her peak now. Can turn things around. ASPIRATIONAL DREAM (7) last appeared six months ago but has trialled and is worth keeping safe.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Kingaroy silk

Two back was beaten by 8 m finishing fourth behind Val Thorens at Ashburton Raceway over 1 ½m in a 4yo+ on August 30 at $31.90. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third behind Buffy Northstains at Mt Harding over 1 ½m in a 4yo+ on September 6 at $8.70. This race appears well within his grasp.

1st Pick
6

Kingaroy

Jockey: Jason Ford

Trainer: Jason Ford

J: Jason Ford

T: Jason Ford

76---23%7/2

Analysis

Two back was beaten by 8 m finishing fourth behind Val Thorens at Ashburton Raceway over 1 ½m in a 4yo+ on August 30 at $31.90. Then a handy effort when well beaten into third behind Buffy Northstains at Mt Harding over 1 ½m in a 4yo+ on September 6 at $8.70. This race appears well within his grasp.

2
Tinkerbelle silk

Last start was well beaten into fifth behind Musclynn at Mt Harding over 1 ½m in a 4yo+ on September 6 at $10.90. Performed better the start before with a solid effort when 2nd ( 5) over 1 ¹¹/16m at Cambridge Raceway beaten 4 m by President Flynntin (3:30.10) in 4yo+ on August 21 at $16.70. One of the key runners.

2nd Pick
2

Tinkerbelle

Jockey: Samantha Ottley

Trainer: Mark Jones

J: Samantha Ottley

T: Mark Jones

77---25%3/1

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into fifth behind Musclynn at Mt Harding over 1 ½m in a 4yo+ on September 6 at $10.90. Performed better the start before with a solid effort when 2nd ( 5) over 1 ¹¹/16m at Cambridge Raceway beaten 4 m by President Flynntin (3:30.10) in 4yo+ on August 21 at $16.70. One of the key runners.

3
See No Evil silk

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 9th (Fr5) over 1 ½m at Mt Harding well beaten by Buffy Northstains (3:16.70) in 4yo+ on September 6 at $11.20. At the previous start 6th (Fr1) over 1 ½m at Ashburton Raceway, beaten 17 m by Val Thorens (3:03.80) in 4yo+ on August 30 at $12.70. Watch for a far better effort this time.

3rd Pick
3

See No Evil

Jockey: Sarah O'reilly

Trainer: Brent & Tim White

J: Sarah O'reilly

T: Brent & Tim White

75---15%6/1

Analysis

Recent form below what she is capable of. Last start 9th (Fr5) over 1 ½m at Mt Harding well beaten by Buffy Northstains (3:16.70) in 4yo+ on September 6 at $11.20. At the previous start 6th (Fr1) over 1 ½m at Ashburton Raceway, beaten 17 m by Val Thorens (3:03.80) in 4yo+ on August 30 at $12.70. Watch for a far better effort this time.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.