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5:47 AM

NZH - Addington - Race 3

Harness
10 Runners
9.8f
Unknown
Synthetic
4.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Looks a good race for ITZ KURTUS MAXIMUS (8) whose best result in three outings so far was a fourth here two starts back. Has to overcome a wide draw but has more upside than most of these. CAPTAIN KIWI (9) has been competitive of late and kept the ball rolling last time when fourth at Ashburton. Also got close to the placings here prior. Must overcome a very wide draw but he is a major player with even luck. THE SEAMSTRESS (4) didn't do a bad job when sixth at Mt Harding last time out. Draws wider but placed in five of the previous six outings so has been going well. COURAGE MACHETE (6) has been solid enough from wide draws of late so is worth some thought.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Itz Kurtus Maximus silk

Last start 8th (Fr5) over 1 ³/16m at this track beaten 40 m by Donna's Crunch (2:23.30) in 3yo+ on September 4 at $27.40. Before that, 4th (Fr1) over 1 ³/16m at this track beaten 13 m by Sidestepper (2:26.80) in 3yo+ on August 28 at $19.60. Sure to play a big role.

1st Pick
8

Itz Kurtus Maximus

Jockey: Blair Orange

Trainer: Michael Purdon & Alison Ward

J: Blair Orange

T: Michael Purdon & Alison Ward

77---56%4/5

Analysis

Last start 8th (Fr5) over 1 ³/16m at this track beaten 40 m by Donna's Crunch (2:23.30) in 3yo+ on September 4 at $27.40. Before that, 4th (Fr1) over 1 ³/16m at this track beaten 13 m by Sidestepper (2:26.80) in 3yo+ on August 28 at $19.60. Sure to play a big role.

9
Captain Kiwi silk

Freshened-up since the last run 38 days ago. Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 3 m fourth behind Christian Bale at Ashburton Raceway over 1 ¹/16m 4yo+ last start. Before that was beaten 2.5 metres fourth at this track over 1 ³/16m same class on August 2. Winning chance.

2nd Pick
9

Captain Kiwi

Jockey: Robbie Holmes

Trainer: Robbie Holmes

J: Robbie Holmes

T: Robbie Holmes

74---20%4/1

Analysis

Freshened-up since the last run 38 days ago. Not far away at the last couple starts, Finished 3 m fourth behind Christian Bale at Ashburton Raceway over 1 ¹/16m 4yo+ last start. Before that was beaten 2.5 metres fourth at this track over 1 ³/16m same class on August 2. Winning chance.

4
The Seamstress silk

Last start 6th (Fr1) over 1 7/16m at Mt Harding beaten 18 m by Rip Wheeler (3:08.50) on September 6 at $6. At the run before solid effort when 3rd (Fr2) over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway beaten 1.1 m by Rosetta Road (2:06.30) in 2yo+ FM on August 30 at $35. Should be right in the finish.

3rd Pick
4

The Seamstress

Jockey: Mia Holbrough

Trainer: Bruce Negus

J: Mia Holbrough

T: Bruce Negus

70---10%9/1

Analysis

Last start 6th (Fr1) over 1 7/16m at Mt Harding beaten 18 m by Rip Wheeler (3:08.50) on September 6 at $6. At the run before solid effort when 3rd (Fr2) over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway beaten 1.1 m by Rosetta Road (2:06.30) in 2yo+ FM on August 30 at $35. Should be right in the finish.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.