NZH - Addington - Race 1

Harness

10 Runners

12.9f

Unknown

Synthetic

4.7K

VIEW

Verdict

HERE COMES MARTY (10) drew wide last start and was safely held but had been producing some decent efforts prior so is capable of much better. Drawn to enjoy a cosy run and if he gets the gaps he has the ability to take this out. A BETTER JACKALACK (6) was never a genuine threat last start but had a tough barrier. Good effort to come from this barrier and place at Rangiora prior so is worth another chance. ENYA FRANCO (7) kicked off the campaign with back-to-back placings and wasn't too far away last start. Draws wide but should be close to peak fitness now. THE BEACH HOUSE (1) has had a series of second row barriers so is much better served by the ace draw.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Last start 9th (Fr6) over 1m at Mt Harding, beaten 50 m by Harry Belafonte (2:13.80) in 4yo+ on September 6 at $6.50. Before that, 4th (Fr8) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora, beaten 14 m by Royal Belle (2:30.20) in 4yo+ on August 23 at $7.10. Capable of a strong showing. 1st Pick 10 Here Comes Marty Jockey: Robbie Close Trainer: Andrew Stuart J: Robbie Close T: Andrew Stuart	77	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Last start 9th (Fr6) over 1m at Mt Harding, beaten 50 m by Harry Belafonte (2:13.80) in 4yo+ on September 6 at $6.50. Before that, 4th (Fr8) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora, beaten 14 m by Royal Belle (2:30.20) in 4yo+ on August 23 at $7.10. Capable of a strong showing.
6	Last start was well beaten into eleventh behind Harry Belafonte at Mt Harding over 1m in a 4yo+ on September 6 at $8.50. Raced better the start before that with a good run when 3rd (Fr6) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora beaten 10 m by Royal Belle (2:30.20) in 4yo+ on August 23 at $7.60. Big run expected. 2nd Pick 6 A Better Jackalack Jockey: Sam Thornley Trainer: Matt Purvis J: Sam Thornley T: Matt Purvis	76	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start was well beaten into eleventh behind Harry Belafonte at Mt Harding over 1m in a 4yo+ on September 6 at $8.50. Raced better the start before that with a good run when 3rd (Fr6) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora beaten 10 m by Royal Belle (2:30.20) in 4yo+ on August 23 at $7.60. Big run expected.
7	Last start 9th (Fr3) over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway, beaten 8 m by Remission (2:03.20) in 3yo+ on August 30 at $34.60. Before that, a game effort when 3rd (Sr1) over 1m at this track beaten 10 m by Royal Belle (3:15.00) in 4yo+ on August 14 at $11.50. Genuine contender in this suitable contest. 3rd Pick 7 Enya Franco Jockey: Olivia Thornley Trainer: Michael House J: Olivia Thornley T: Michael House	76	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start 9th (Fr3) over 1 ¹/16m at Ashburton Raceway, beaten 8 m by Remission (2:03.20) in 3yo+ on August 30 at $34.60. Before that, a game effort when 3rd (Sr1) over 1m at this track beaten 10 m by Royal Belle (3:15.00) in 4yo+ on August 14 at $11.50. Genuine contender in this suitable contest.

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A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.