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36 Min Till Start

GB - Stratford-on-Avon - Race 2

Thoroughbred
6 Runners
16.3f
Maiden Hurdle
Turf
Good to Firm
13.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SQUARE D'ALBONI sets a fairly useful standard and may prove too strong for likely improver Arcturus Flame. Hurdling debutant Red Metal has to be respected in receipt of weight from that pair.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Square D'alboni (Fr) silk

Useful 3-time winner on Flat. Progressive since opening his hurdle account at this track (1¼m), only denied a hat-trick by a fairly useful one at Worcester (2½m) in August. Better than he was able to show in a valuable novice final there last time. Can resume winning ways back in calmer waters.

1st Pick
1

Square D'alboni (Fr)

Jockey: Harry Skelton

Trainer: Dan Skelton

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

100---37%7/4

Analysis

Useful 3-time winner on Flat. Progressive since opening his hurdle account at this track (1¼m), only denied a hat-trick by a fairly useful one at Worcester (2½m) in August. Better than he was able to show in a valuable novice final there last time. Can resume winning ways back in calmer waters.

2
Arcturus Flame (Ire) silk

Fairly useful Flat performer. Didn't have much to beat when easing to hurdling debut success at Plumpton (2m) last time, jumping much better than his sole rival on paper. Surely better to come given his profile/connections and rates a very credible danger to Square D'Alboni.

2nd Pick
2

Arcturus Flame (Ire)

Jockey: Jonathan Burke

Trainer: James Owen

J: Jonathan Burke

T: James Owen

98---34%2/1

Analysis

Fairly useful Flat performer. Didn't have much to beat when easing to hurdling debut success at Plumpton (2m) last time, jumping much better than his sole rival on paper. Surely better to come given his profile/connections and rates a very credible danger to Square D'Alboni.

5
Red Metal (Fr) silk

Impressive debut bumper winner at Hereford who came within a whisker of defying his penalty in a similar event here in March (both soft ground). Can have a say if translating his fairly useful form to hurdles at the first attempt (under contrasting conditions).

3rd Pick
5

Red Metal (Fr)

Jockey: Brendan Powell

Trainer: Henrietta C Knight

J: Brendan Powell

T: Henrietta C Knight

92---20%4/1

Analysis

Impressive debut bumper winner at Hereford who came within a whisker of defying his penalty in a similar event here in March (both soft ground). Can have a say if translating his fairly useful form to hurdles at the first attempt (under contrasting conditions).

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.