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3:40 PM

GB - York - Race 6

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
5f
Listed
Turf
Good
96.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ASPECT ISLAND had no easy task taking on his elders at Newmarket on his reappearance but this looks a far more suitable assignment back against his own age group, so he's taken to strike. C&D winner Revival Power finished only 2 places behind the selection in the Cornwallis Stakes on her final start at 2 yrs and appeals as the type who could progress again this year, while Manatee Mehmas made a striking winning debut at Doncaster recently and has scope for plenty of improvement.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Aspect Island silk

Took a big step forward to get off the mark on nursery bow at Yarmouth in September before showing better form in defeat in stronger company, including when third in Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint at Del Mar. Not disgraced faced with a stiff task on Newmarket return and this is more suitable.

1st Pick
1

Aspect Island

Jockey: Oisin Murphy

Trainer: James Owen

J: Oisin Murphy

T: James Owen

100---34%2/1

Analysis

Took a big step forward to get off the mark on nursery bow at Yarmouth in September before showing better form in defeat in stronger company, including when third in Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint at Del Mar. Not disgraced faced with a stiff task on Newmarket return and this is more suitable.

7
Revival Power (Ire) silk

Overdid things in the Queen Mary on the back of her Thirsk debut success but resumed her progress when making all in a C&D listed race and the Flying Childers at Doncaster. Seemed unsuited by the track at Newmarket on final outing and her physique suggests she'll prove at least as good at 3 yrs.

2nd Pick
7

Revival Power (Ire)

Jockey: David Allan

Trainer: Tim Easterby

J: David Allan

T: Tim Easterby

99---29%5/2

Analysis

Overdid things in the Queen Mary on the back of her Thirsk debut success but resumed her progress when making all in a C&D listed race and the Flying Childers at Doncaster. Seemed unsuited by the track at Newmarket on final outing and her physique suggests she'll prove at least as good at 3 yrs.

6
Manatee Mehmas (Ire) silk

105,000 gns purchase who looked potentially smart in landing the odds in impressive fashion in 5f novice at Doncaster on debut 19 days ago. This asks a different question but has plenty of scope to improve.

3rd Pick
6

Manatee Mehmas (Ire)

Jockey: Daniel Tudhope

Trainer: David O'meara

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: David O'meara

95---23%7/2

Analysis

105,000 gns purchase who looked potentially smart in landing the odds in impressive fashion in 5f novice at Doncaster on debut 19 days ago. This asks a different question but has plenty of scope to improve.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.