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    Resulted

    ZA - Turffontein - Race 5

    Thoroughbred
    11 Runners
    9f
    Handicap
    Turf
    7.0K

    VIEW

    R2
    R3
    R4
    R5
    R6
    R7
    R8
    R9

    All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

    Verdict

    CASUS BELLI is worth giving another chance to. Peace Treaty is dangerous, while Crepuscolo might be hard to keep out of the minor money.
    numberFire Picks
    Horse Stats
    #/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
    4
    Casus Belli (Saf) silk

    Fourteen runs since last win in 2025. 28/10, creditable 2½ lengths fifth of 12 to Crepuscolo in handicap at this C&D (good) 31 days ago. Looks competitive on form.

    1st Pick
    4

    Casus Belli (Saf)

    Jockey: Rachel Venniker

    Trainer: P. F. Matchett, South Africa

    J: Rachel Venniker

    T: P. F. Matchett, South Africa

    		0---20%

    Analysis

    Fourteen runs since last win in 2025. 28/10, creditable 2½ lengths fifth of 12 to Crepuscolo in handicap at this C&D (good) 31 days ago. Looks competitive on form.

    2
    Peace Treaty (Saf) silk

    Course winner. One win from 21 Flat runs. Nineteen runs since last win in 2024. Creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at Vaal (8f, good, 11/2) 3 days ago.

    2nd Pick
    2

    Peace Treaty (Saf)

    Jockey: Craig Zackey

    Trainer: S. G. Tarry, South Africa

    J: Craig Zackey

    T: S. G. Tarry, South Africa

    		0---25%

    Analysis

    Course winner. One win from 21 Flat runs. Nineteen runs since last win in 2024. Creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at Vaal (8f, good, 11/2) 3 days ago.

    7
    Crepuscolo (Saf) silk

    C&D winner. Latest win here in January. Fourth of 9 in handicap (6/1) at Vaal (9.9f, good) 15 days ago.

    3rd Pick
    7

    Crepuscolo (Saf)

    Jockey: Jason Gates

    Trainer: F. P. Habib, South Africa

    J: Jason Gates

    T: F. P. Habib, South Africa

    		0---25%

    Analysis

    C&D winner. Latest win here in January. Fourth of 9 in handicap (6/1) at Vaal (9.9f, good) 15 days ago.

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    Horse Racing Basic Terms

    Filly

    A female horse that is four years of age or under.

    Minus Pool

    A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

    Claiming Race

    A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.