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3:22 PM

GB - Warwick - Race 7

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
16f
Sweepstakes Bumper
Turf
Good to Soft (Good in places)
5.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SMILE JOHN BOY made an impressive winning debut at Hereford last month and looks up to defying a penalty unless well-bred Rules newcomer Risky Obsession proves to be well above average. Eternity Rose and Soldier Poet are others worthy of consideration.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Smile John Boy (Ire) silk

Looked a good prospect when winning 14-runner bumper at Hereford (16.2f, good, 10/1) on debut 36 days ago, impressively. Will take the beating under a penalty.

1st Pick
1

Smile John Boy (Ire)

Jockey: Callum Pritchard

Trainer: Ben Pauling

J: Callum Pritchard

T: Ben Pauling

100---34%2/1

Analysis

Looked a good prospect when winning 14-runner bumper at Hereford (16.2f, good, 10/1) on debut 36 days ago, impressively. Will take the beating under a penalty.

5
Risky Obsession (Ire) silk

€70,000 3-y-o, €170,000 4-y-o, resold £190,000 4-y-o, No Risk At All gelding. Half-brother to bumper winner/useful hurdler Ask Paddington. Won sole start in Irish points (Apr 2025) and takes the eye on paper for top yard.

2nd Pick
5

Risky Obsession (Ire)

Jockey: Harry Skelton

Trainer: Dan Skelton

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

96---34%2/1

Analysis

€70,000 3-y-o, €170,000 4-y-o, resold £190,000 4-y-o, No Risk At All gelding. Half-brother to bumper winner/useful hurdler Ask Paddington. Won sole start in Irish points (Apr 2025) and takes the eye on paper for top yard.

3
Eternity Rose silk

From a good jumping family and shaped encouragingly when third of 12 in bumper at Doncaster (16.6f, good) on NH debut, not knocked about. Off 10 months but can improve.

3rd Pick
3

Eternity Rose

Jockey: Fern O'brien

Trainer: Fergal O'brien

J: Fern O'brien

T: Fergal O'brien

90---13%7/1

Analysis

From a good jumping family and shaped encouragingly when third of 12 in bumper at Doncaster (16.6f, good) on NH debut, not knocked about. Off 10 months but can improve.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.