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8 Min Till Start

GB - Worcester - Race 1

Thoroughbred
6 Runners
20f
Handicap Chase
Turf
Good (Good to Firm in places)
8.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

This looks an excellent opportunity for THICKTHORN TOM, who whilst a somewhat fortunate winner at Stratford 4 days ago, has proved himself a much-improved model since switched to fences and he ought to take some stopping under a penalty. Atreides is in better heart than the bare results suggest this season and this drop back in trip rates a plus. Thank You Blue also isn't out of things.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Thickthorn Tom (Ire) silk

Much improved over fences, making it 2 wins from his last 3 starts equipped with first-time blinkers at Stratford (19f) 4 days ago. Took advantage of main rival's last fence blunder then but he appeals as the one to beat once more under a penalty.

1st Pick
2

Thickthorn Tom (Ire)

Jockey: Harry Skelton

Trainer: Dan Skelton

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

100---63%3/5

Analysis

Much improved over fences, making it 2 wins from his last 3 starts equipped with first-time blinkers at Stratford (19f) 4 days ago. Took advantage of main rival's last fence blunder then but he appeals as the one to beat once more under a penalty.

3
Atreides (Ire) silk

Won back-to-back small-field handicaps in December and in better heart than the bare results this season, appearing to find the 23f trip stretching him when fifth here at the beginning of the month. This return to shorter rates more suitable provided he jumps better than last time.

2nd Pick
3

Atreides (Ire)

Jockey: Richie Mclernon

Trainer: Neil Mulholland

J: Richie Mclernon

T: Neil Mulholland

99---25%3/1

Analysis

Won back-to-back small-field handicaps in December and in better heart than the bare results this season, appearing to find the 23f trip stretching him when fifth here at the beginning of the month. This return to shorter rates more suitable provided he jumps better than last time.

1
Thank You Blue silk

Completed a quick-fire hat-trick over hurdles at Ludlow in February and ran better than he had on his return to chasing when staying on gradually for third at Cartmel (21f) 3 weeks ago. Much lower mark to operate from in this sphere but yet to scale same heights as he has over hurdles.

3rd Pick
1

Thank You Blue

Jockey: I. J. Power

Trainer: Jennie Candlish

J: I. J. Power

T: Jennie Candlish

96---19%9/2

Analysis

Completed a quick-fire hat-trick over hurdles at Ludlow in February and ran better than he had on his return to chasing when staying on gradually for third at Cartmel (21f) 3 weeks ago. Much lower mark to operate from in this sphere but yet to scale same heights as he has over hurdles.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.