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3:06 AM

NZ - Wanganui - Race 7

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
8f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 6
47.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CHURCHILLIAN (9) can be a hard mare to get past when allowed to dictate the pace, and she was dominant when taking out the G3 Rotorua Stakes at Arawa Park over 7f 3 weeks ago when making all the running on a heavy track. She will be tough to peg back again. RIVERPLATE (4) showed plenty of fight to lead throughout and win the LR Rangitikei Gold Cup at Otaki over 1m a fortnight ago. He rises sharply in weight, but he can run into the top 4 again. KNOCK OFF (7) was below his best at Waverley last start, but he will be peaking now fourth up from a spell. He loves his home track, and a form reversal is on the cards. MR MOJO RISIN' (3) scored in good style at Waverley when controlling the race from the front and fighting on bravely to win by a length. There is more depth here, but he is honest, and he can't be taken lightly. WHO KNOWS (11) has been racing in tough fields since winning fresh up at Trentham in March, and her last start fourth was very good. Don't leave her out.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Churchillian silk

Most recently won by 2 len at Arawa Park G3 Rotorua Stakes May 9 over 7f on a heavy track defeating Platinum Diamond carrying 126lbs at $6.30. The start before that did the work up front then tired 9th of 16 at Ellerslie in the G3 Easter Handicap on April 18 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Lupo Solitario carrying 121lbs at $11.60. Huge chance in this line-up based on last run.

1st Pick
9

Churchillian

Jockey: Leah Hemi

Trainer: Tony Pike

J: Leah Hemi

T: Tony Pike

155---29%5/2

Analysis

Most recently won by 2 len at Arawa Park G3 Rotorua Stakes May 9 over 7f on a heavy track defeating Platinum Diamond carrying 126lbs at $6.30. The start before that did the work up front then tired 9th of 16 at Ellerslie in the G3 Easter Handicap on April 18 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Lupo Solitario carrying 121lbs at $11.60. Huge chance in this line-up based on last run.

4
Riverplate silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run won by 2 len at Otaki LR Rangitikei Gold Cup May 16 over 1m on a soft track defeating Talisker carrying 117lbs at $10.30. Before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 7 at Waverley on May 9 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Mr Mojo Risin' carrying 119lbs at $3.90. Hard to fault and can go on with it.

2nd Pick
4

Riverplate

Jockey: Toni Davies

Trainer: Andrew Campbell

J: Toni Davies

T: Andrew Campbell

115---9%11/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run won by 2 len at Otaki LR Rangitikei Gold Cup May 16 over 1m on a soft track defeating Talisker carrying 117lbs at $10.30. Before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 7 at Waverley on May 9 over 7f, 1.0 len behind Mr Mojo Risin' carrying 119lbs at $3.90. Hard to fault and can go on with it.

7
Knock Off silk

Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 7 at Waverley on May 9 over 7f, 6 len behind Mr Mojo Risin' carrying 119lbs at $10.90. The run before that ran last of 16 at Trentham in the LR Flying Hcp on March 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 13 len behind Archaic Smile with 118lbs at $25.10. Give another chance.

3rd Pick
7

Knock Off

Jockey: Jim Chung

Trainer: Gerard Cvitanovich

J: Jim Chung

T: Gerard Cvitanovich

92---5%20/1

Analysis

Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 7 at Waverley on May 9 over 7f, 6 len behind Mr Mojo Risin' carrying 119lbs at $10.90. The run before that ran last of 16 at Trentham in the LR Flying Hcp on March 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 13 len behind Archaic Smile with 118lbs at $25.10. Give another chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.