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2:05 AM

NZ - Wanganui - Race 6

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
6.7f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 5
45.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

WAR PRINCESS (1) beat 3 others at Hawera in her penultimate start, and then franked that form by beating a similar field to this at Tauranga 4 weeks ago, when charging home to score by a short-head. She is shaping up to be a very handy filly, and the hat-trick beckons. LUBECK (2) is a very progressive filly who looked all over the winner before being bloused out by the top pick last start. She has been back to the trials since then and has a great chance to turn the tables here. TELLUM (3) is also chasing a hat-trick of wins, after posting a maiden win and then a BM65 victory in successive starts. Stick with her. CIRCUS DANCER (4) showed a lot of heart to win as the favourite on debut at New Plymouth just over 5 weeks ago. This is a lot tougher, but she has earned her spot and has to be respected. FAIRY DREAM (6) won as expected on the Cambridge poly track when having her first start in September. She has been on ice since then, and a bold run is on the cards. Each way.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
War Princess silk

Chasing a hat-trick. Last start won by a head at Tauranga November 1 over 6f in soft going defeating Lubeck carrying 125lbs at $4.30. The start before that won by 3 len at Hawera October 4 over 6f in the wet defeating Belzoni with 123lbs at $1.40. In form and certainly worth following up.

1st Pick
1

War Princess

Jockey: Samantha Collett

Trainer: Peter And Trent Didham

J: Samantha Collett

T: Peter And Trent Didham

121---31%9/4

Analysis

Chasing a hat-trick. Last start won by a head at Tauranga November 1 over 6f in soft going defeating Lubeck carrying 125lbs at $4.30. The start before that won by 3 len at Hawera October 4 over 6f in the wet defeating Belzoni with 123lbs at $1.40. In form and certainly worth following up.

2
Lubeck silk

Third-up today. Resuming favourite, won by 1.3 len at Arawa Park October 12 over 6f in the wet defeating Cream Tart with 121lbs at $3.70. Last start 2nd of 8 at Tauranga on November 1 over 6f, slow going head behind War Princess carrying 123lbs at $2.30. Key runner who is a great chance to atone.

2nd Pick
2

Lubeck

Jockey: Courtney Barnes

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Courtney Barnes

T: Stephen Marsh

85---27%11/4

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming favourite, won by 1.3 len at Arawa Park October 12 over 6f in the wet defeating Cream Tart with 121lbs at $3.70. Last start 2nd of 8 at Tauranga on November 1 over 6f, slow going head behind War Princess carrying 123lbs at $2.30. Key runner who is a great chance to atone.

3
Tellum silk

Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently won by 3.5 len at Te Aroha November 11 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Urlar carrying 122lbs at $5.20. The race before that won by 0.8 len at Te Aroha October 22 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating La Cadiere carrying 119lbs at $4.90. Key runner who is a great chance to measure up again.

3rd Pick
3

Tellum

Jockey: Lynsey Satherley

Trainer: Debbie Sweeney

J: Lynsey Satherley

T: Debbie Sweeney

73---8%12/1

Analysis

Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently won by 3.5 len at Te Aroha November 11 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Urlar carrying 122lbs at $5.20. The race before that won by 0.8 len at Te Aroha October 22 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating La Cadiere carrying 119lbs at $4.90. Key runner who is a great chance to measure up again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.