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3:15 AM

NZ - Wanganui - Race 5

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
10.2f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 10
10.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KAY'S RUEBE (9) has been disappointing in her last couple of starts, but she will appreciate getting up to 1 ¼m here. She will find this a tad easier than her last run, and she can bounce back into form with a top 3 finish in this. JIM DANDY (3) made up a stack of late ground in each of his 2 starts back from a spell, and he only needs to settle a touch closer to the pace, to be a big winning threat in this. Each way value. BOOTS TO FILL (2) caught the eye with a strong late finish into third on debut at Otaki just over 3 weeks ago, and he will have no problem with an extra 2 ¼f to travel here on his home track. He has the scope to win this. THE REPUBLICAN (1) has been mixing hurdling with flat racing, and he won't lack fitness. A heavy track is the key, and has also been placed in his only start here. Include in all top 4 combos. LES BOOTS (5) has been thereabouts in most of his races, but has just lacked strength, He resumes over a middle distance, so he must be fit. Include.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Kay's Ruebe silk

Last start raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 9 at New Plymouth Raceway on July 18 over 1m, on a wet track, 9 len behind Timemakesthewine with 119lbs at $8.10. The race before that 7th of 13 at Waverley on July 4 over 1 m, slow going 3.5 len behind No More Pennies with 125lbs at $3.30. Better than that last run suggests.

1st Pick
9

Kay's Ruebe

Jockey: Lisa Allpress

Trainer: John Wheeler

J: Lisa Allpress

T: John Wheeler

139---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 9 at New Plymouth Raceway on July 18 over 1m, on a wet track, 9 len behind Timemakesthewine with 119lbs at $8.10. The race before that 7th of 13 at Waverley on July 4 over 1 m, slow going 3.5 len behind No More Pennies with 125lbs at $3.30. Better than that last run suggests.

3
Jim Dandy silk

Third-up today. First-up 5th of 13 at Otaki on July 10 over 1m, on heavy track, 11 len behind Kyanite Man with 120lbs at $39.10. Second run from a spell 5th of 13 at Waverley on July 24 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Early Times carrying 120lbs at $11.90. Strips fitter and looks a great chance to break through.

2nd Pick
3

Jim Dandy

Jockey: Leah Hemi

Trainer: Caitlin Johnson

J: Leah Hemi

T: Caitlin Johnson

70---17%5/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 5th of 13 at Otaki on July 10 over 1m, on heavy track, 11 len behind Kyanite Man with 120lbs at $39.10. Second run from a spell 5th of 13 at Waverley on July 24 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Early Times carrying 120lbs at $11.90. Strips fitter and looks a great chance to break through.

2
Boots To Fill silk

At debut, 3rd of 13 at Otaki on July 10 over 1m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Kyanite Man carrying 129lbs at $16.60. One of the main top 4 chances.

3rd Pick
2

Boots To Fill

Jockey: Rohan Mudhoo

Trainer: Raymond Connors

J: Rohan Mudhoo

T: Raymond Connors

77---15%6/1

Analysis

At debut, 3rd of 13 at Otaki on July 10 over 1m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Kyanite Man carrying 129lbs at $16.60. One of the main top 4 chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.