NZ - Wingatui - Race 1

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

7.5f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 6

24.0K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

STOUT (1) failed to cop a heavy track at Riccarton 2 weeks ago, and is nicely placed in an easier field with the aid of a 7lbs claim. His only win came on this track, and he can bounce back into form in this. Each way. LUCKY FERRANDO (3) ran on late on both days at Cromwell, and then copped a tough trip off a wide gate here just over 6 weeks ago when also needing the run. He slides down a class, and only needs the gaps to come to be back in the top 4 here. IMPERATIVE (9) had a chequered run fresh up and was not far off the winner before having a rocky trip here second up 3 weeks ago. She is peaking at the right time, and a form reversal is on the cards. MIRAQUA (4) poked through late when finishing fourth at Trentham 5 weeks ago. That sort of form makes him a top 3 chance in this field. ELOISE (7) has yet to show any form in 3 starts this prep, but with the blinkers on, she is capable of much better. Include in all top 4 combos.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Most recently 13th of 18 at Riccarton Park on January 24 over 1m, on a wet track, 16 len behind Flamboyance with 129lbs at $9.40. The race before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 12 at Riverton on January 1 over 1m, 8 len behind Lined Satin carrying 130lbs at $10.10. Well placed. Finds a suitable race and deserves another chance. 1st Pick 1 Stout Jockey: Jack Taplin Trainer: Steven Prince J: Jack Taplin T: Steven Prince	68	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Most recently 13th of 18 at Riccarton Park on January 24 over 1m, on a wet track, 16 len behind Flamboyance with 129lbs at $9.40. The race before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 12 at Riverton on January 1 over 1m, 8 len behind Lined Satin carrying 130lbs at $10.10. Well placed. Finds a suitable race and deserves another chance.
3	Dual acceptor. Returns from a 43-day let-up. Last start 10th of 13 at this track on December 26 over 6f, on a slow track, 9 len behind Trader with 126lbs at $7.40. Before that 2nd of 14 at Cromwell on November 30 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Let Me Loose carrying 130lbs at $3.50. Can atone. 2nd Pick 3 Lucky Ferrando Jockey: Floor Moerman Trainer: John & Karen Parsons J: Floor Moerman T: John & Karen Parsons	60	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Returns from a 43-day let-up. Last start 10th of 13 at this track on December 26 over 6f, on a slow track, 9 len behind Trader with 126lbs at $7.40. Before that 2nd of 14 at Cromwell on November 30 over 7f, 1.3 len behind Let Me Loose carrying 130lbs at $3.50. Can atone.
9	Dual acceptor. Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 7th of 16 at this track on December 26 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind Southern Country carrying 120lbs at $19.80. Second-up eased back early on 12th of 16 at this track on January 17 over 1m, slow going 15 len behind Aladdins Jem carrying 125lbs at $17.60. Well placed and can return to form. 3rd Pick 9 Imperative Jockey: Corey Campbell Trainer: Brian & Shane Anderton J: Corey Campbell T: Brian & Shane Anderton	105	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 7th of 16 at this track on December 26 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind Southern Country carrying 120lbs at $19.80. Second-up eased back early on 12th of 16 at this track on January 17 over 1m, slow going 15 len behind Aladdins Jem carrying 125lbs at $17.60. Well placed and can return to form.

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Exacta

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Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.