NZH - Winton - Race 3

Harness

9 Runners

11.9f

Unknown

Synthetic

7.1K

VIEW

Verdict

Manners let SENSITIVE TO A SMILE (1) down last start but she had looked close to a win prior, coming from wider on the track than this for back-to-back placings. Should enjoy a soft run so is worth another chance. STAR INVASION (9) only beat one home last time out but there had been merit in his previous performances including a second at this venue two back. He is deserving of another chance in what looks a suitable race. SHAKEDOWN (4) will find this much easier than the last attempt and did manage a string of placings earlier in the campaign. WYPOUT (2) showed improvement for second last time, albeit a long way off the winner. Could progress further fourth up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Last start was well beaten into sixth behind Worsethanted at Gore Raceway over 1m on August 30 at $2. Raced better the start before that with a good run when 3rd (Fr6) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora, beaten 0.5 m by Victor Radley (2:38.00) in 3yo+ on August 23 at $6.50. Capable of a strong showing. 1st Pick 1 Sensitive To A Smile Jockey: Blair Orange Trainer: Mark Jones J: Blair Orange T: Mark Jones	77	-	-	-	56%	4/5
Analysis Last start was well beaten into sixth behind Worsethanted at Gore Raceway over 1m on August 30 at $2. Raced better the start before that with a good run when 3rd (Fr6) over 1 ¼m at Rangiora, beaten 0.5 m by Victor Radley (2:38.00) in 3yo+ on August 23 at $6.50. Capable of a strong showing.
9	Last start was well beaten into fifth behind Kings Choice at Ascot Park Raceway over 1m in a 3yo+ on August 9 at $21.40. Raced better the start before that with a game effort when 3rd (Fr2) over 1m at this track beaten 12 m by Redback Bob (2:02.39) in 3yo+ on August 2 at $21.60. This race appears well within his grasp. 2nd Pick 9 Star Invasion Jockey: Craig Ferguson Trainer: Amber Hoffman J: Craig Ferguson T: Amber Hoffman	74	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start was well beaten into fifth behind Kings Choice at Ascot Park Raceway over 1m in a 3yo+ on August 9 at $21.40. Raced better the start before that with a game effort when 3rd (Fr2) over 1m at this track beaten 12 m by Redback Bob (2:02.39) in 3yo+ on August 2 at $21.60. This race appears well within his grasp.
4	Last start 5th (Fr1) over 1m at this track, beaten 45 m by Redback Bob (1:59.70) in 3yo+ on August 24 at $67. Before that, 6th (Fr6) over 1m at this track well beaten by Redback Bob (2:02.39) in 3yo+ on August 2 at $3.90. Sure to be about the money. 3rd Pick 4 Shakedown Jockey: Oliver Kite Trainer: Nathan Williamson J: Oliver Kite T: Nathan Williamson	75	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Last start 5th (Fr1) over 1m at this track, beaten 45 m by Redback Bob (1:59.70) in 3yo+ on August 24 at $67. Before that, 6th (Fr6) over 1m at this track well beaten by Redback Bob (2:02.39) in 3yo+ on August 2 at $3.90. Sure to be about the money.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.