NZ - Te Rapa - Race 8

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

20.5K

VIEW

Verdict

CONFESARA (9) was good enough to finish third in G3 company at Ellerslie in her penultimate start, and then won against a good field by a nose there just over 5 weeks ago. She is perfectly placed in this with only half a kilo more to carry, and she is the one to beat again. NANCY SHE WROTE (3) is a very capable mare on her day, and racing in this direction seems to suit her best. She doesn't want it too wet, and she is worth including in all combos to be safe. EL ARISH (5) likes to run along in front, and he was only run down late at Pukekohe last time out, and before that, he was brave in third-place at Matamata. Stick with him on an each-way basis. ZANTABULOUS (1) can't be faulted with her form this season, and she revels in the wet. She has won on this track in the past, and another honest effort can be expected. PEERLESS (2) was out of the money last start at Pukekohe, but was not far off the placings. He was unsuited by the good track, and he can bounce back on a wet surface.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Recent form sound. Returns from a 36-day let-up. At the latest run favourite, won by a 0.1 len at Ellerslie March 7 over 7 ½f in soft going defeating Burnerphone carrying 121lbs at $2.60. Before that 3rd of 12 at Ellerslie in the G3 Uncle Remus on February 21 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Belle Cheval carrying 121lbs at $14.20. Draws a nice barrier and will be very competitive again. 1st Pick 9 Confesara Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: George Rooke T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	105	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Returns from a 36-day let-up. At the latest run favourite, won by a 0.1 len at Ellerslie March 7 over 7 ½f in soft going defeating Burnerphone carrying 121lbs at $2.60. Before that 3rd of 12 at Ellerslie in the G3 Uncle Remus on February 21 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Belle Cheval carrying 121lbs at $14.20. Draws a nice barrier and will be very competitive again.
3	At the latest run got back early 6th of 10 at Te Aroha on March 28 over 7f, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Lachie with 123lbs at $9.90. The race before that got back early 6th of 8 at Trentham on March 1 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Anderson Bridge with 129lbs at $15.90. Finds a nice race this time and looks hard to beat. 2nd Pick 3 Nancy She Wrote Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Ben & Ryan Foote J: Sam Mcnab T: Ben & Ryan Foote	82	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis At the latest run got back early 6th of 10 at Te Aroha on March 28 over 7f, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Lachie with 123lbs at $9.90. The race before that got back early 6th of 8 at Trentham on March 1 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Anderson Bridge with 129lbs at $15.90. Finds a nice race this time and looks hard to beat.
5	At the latest run did the work up front then tired 6th of 13 at Pukekohe on March 20 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Lupo Solitario carrying 120lbs at $14.40. The race before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 9 at Matamata on February 28 over 7f, slow going 0.3 len behind Thooza carrying 119lbs at $7.60. A bold showing is expected. 3rd Pick 5 El Arish Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Matt Cartwright T: Stephen Marsh	70	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis At the latest run did the work up front then tired 6th of 13 at Pukekohe on March 20 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Lupo Solitario carrying 120lbs at $14.40. The race before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 9 at Matamata on February 28 over 7f, slow going 0.3 len behind Thooza carrying 119lbs at $7.60. A bold showing is expected.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.