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3:37 AM

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 8

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
11.9f
Unknown
Turf
SOFT 5
80.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SHARP 'N' SMART (1) has been out of the winners' circle for a long time, but gets everything in his favour this time. He was running on over 1 5/16m in the Counties Cup 3 weeks ago, and back on this track, over a more suitable 1 ½m, he is poised to break his win drought. THE ODYSSEY (2) hit the line strongly for third in the Whanganui Cup 2 weeks ago. He loves it here, and the step up to 1 ½m is what he has been looking for, and he is good enough to take this out. MIDNIGHT BLUE (3) has needed all of his 3 runs back from a spell, and will be hoping to race on his preferred good track conditions here. He is nicely weighted, and with Craig Grylls in the saddle, he is ready to put his best hoof forward. Each way value. AFTERMATH (7) was only beaten by a neck in a similar field 3 weeks ago in the G3 Counties Cup. He will relish the extra trip, and another honest effort is on the cards. GIGI (8) was the beaten favourite in the Counties Cup, finishing fifth. Stick with him.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Sharp 'n' Smart silk

Racing well recently. Most recently came from midfield, 4th of 14 at Pukekohe in the G3 Counties Cup on November 22 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Final Return with 130lbs at $7.40. The start before that 3rd of 12 at Ellerslie in the G3 Balmerino Stakes on November 4 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 3 len behind El Vencedor with 130lbs at $8.60. Looks hard to beat.

1st Pick
1

Sharp 'n' Smart

Jockey: George Rooke

Trainer: Graeme & Debbie Rogerson

J: George Rooke

T: Graeme & Debbie Rogerson

137---12%15/2

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently came from midfield, 4th of 14 at Pukekohe in the G3 Counties Cup on November 22 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Final Return with 130lbs at $7.40. The start before that 3rd of 12 at Ellerslie in the G3 Balmerino Stakes on November 4 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 3 len behind El Vencedor with 130lbs at $8.60. Looks hard to beat.

2
The Odyssey silk

Last start 3rd of 14 at Wanganui in the LR Wanganui Cup on November 29 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Tshiebwe carrying 130lbs at $7.50. The race before that 7th of 12 at Ellerslie in the G3 Balmerino Stakes on November 4 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 6 len behind El Vencedor carrying 130lbs at $5.60. Terrific chance to continue the strong form.

2nd Pick
2

The Odyssey

Jockey: Jonathan Riddell

Trainer: Ben & Ryan Foote

J: Jonathan Riddell

T: Ben & Ryan Foote

78---12%15/2

Analysis

Last start 3rd of 14 at Wanganui in the LR Wanganui Cup on November 29 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Tshiebwe carrying 130lbs at $7.50. The race before that 7th of 12 at Ellerslie in the G3 Balmerino Stakes on November 4 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 6 len behind El Vencedor carrying 130lbs at $5.60. Terrific chance to continue the strong form.

3
Midnight Blue silk

Most recently 10th of 14 at Pukekohe in the G3 Counties Cup on November 22 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Final Return with 119lbs at $23.10. The start before that got back early 9th of 12 at Ellerslie in the G3 Balmerino Stakes on November 4 over 1 ¼m, slow going 10 len behind El Vencedor with 130lbs at $21.70. Top chance despite the latest effort.

3rd Pick
3

Midnight Blue

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Craig Grylls

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

128---8%13/1

Analysis

Most recently 10th of 14 at Pukekohe in the G3 Counties Cup on November 22 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Final Return with 119lbs at $23.10. The start before that got back early 9th of 12 at Ellerslie in the G3 Balmerino Stakes on November 4 over 1 ¼m, slow going 10 len behind El Vencedor with 130lbs at $21.70. Top chance despite the latest effort.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.