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4:30 AM

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 8

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 8
23.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SWEETAZME (8) carried the whole of Rotorua through to victory fresh up at Arawa Park just over a month ago when scoring with a fair bit in hand by half a length over 7f. He has only been lightly tried, and has always given the impression that he can perform at a higher level then BM65. Stick with him on top. MISS UNDERSTOOD (3) has been too strong in her last couple of starts, including a last start win at this level just over 5 weeks ago. The slight freshen up will do her no harm, and the hat-trick beckons. SURROUND SOUND (7) made progress as a 3YO, and won a nice race at Trentham in late March at his penultimate start prior to a spell. He resumes with a trials under his belt, and is more than capable of a top 3 finish fresh up. EMPIRICAL (10) came with a well-timed run to score fresh up as the favourite by a neck at Taupo 4 weeks ago, and an extra 1f will be further in his favour here. Hard to beat again. RIBKRAKA (1) has held his form through the winter. Stick with him.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Sweetazme silk

Racing second-up today. Last outing favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.6 len at Arawa Park on August 12 over 7f in the wet defeating Vadanova carrying 130lbs at $3.90. At only start last preparation 8th of 10 at Ellerslie on June 6 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Iridescent with 131lbs at $10.60. Back in great shape and is sure to measure up.

1st Pick
8

Sweetazme

Jockey: Matthew Cameron

Trainer: R K Fleming

J: Matthew Cameron

T: R K Fleming

125---10%10/1

Analysis

Racing second-up today. Last outing favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.6 len at Arawa Park on August 12 over 7f in the wet defeating Vadanova carrying 130lbs at $3.90. At only start last preparation 8th of 10 at Ellerslie on June 6 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Iridescent with 131lbs at $10.60. Back in great shape and is sure to measure up.

3
Miss Understood silk

Chasing a hat-trick. Returns from a 36-day let-up. Last start settled well back, won by 1.1 len at this track on August 8 over 7f in heavy going defeating Amazonia with 120lbs at $5.60. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Otaki on July 10 over 6 ½f on a heavy track defeating Justice For All with 128lbs at $1.50. Talented type who is expected to run well again.

2nd Pick
3

Miss Understood

Jockey: Michael Mcnab

Trainer: Ralph Manning

J: Michael Mcnab

T: Ralph Manning

118---25%3/1

Analysis

Chasing a hat-trick. Returns from a 36-day let-up. Last start settled well back, won by 1.1 len at this track on August 8 over 7f in heavy going defeating Amazonia with 120lbs at $5.60. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Otaki on July 10 over 6 ½f on a heavy track defeating Justice For All with 128lbs at $1.50. Talented type who is expected to run well again.

7
Surround Sound silk

Gelding back from a spell of five months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign fourth of 11 at Otaki April 11 over 1m, soft track, 0.9 len behind Up The Anti with 123lbs at $20.40. First up last campaign second of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway December 31 over 7f, on rain affected going, 1.0 len behind Belles Boom with 120lbs at $11.20. Expecting him to hit the ground running this campaign.

3rd Pick
7

Surround Sound

Jockey: Lisa Allpress

Trainer: John Wheeler

J: Lisa Allpress

T: John Wheeler

55---4%25/1

Analysis

Gelding back from a spell of five months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign fourth of 11 at Otaki April 11 over 1m, soft track, 0.9 len behind Up The Anti with 123lbs at $20.40. First up last campaign second of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway December 31 over 7f, on rain affected going, 1.0 len behind Belles Boom with 120lbs at $11.20. Expecting him to hit the ground running this campaign.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.