NZ - Te Rapa - Race 8

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

6.5f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

15.0K

VIEW

Verdict

PILATES (8) was an impressive triallist prior to finishing third when making her debut at Tauranga as an odds-on favourite. She did not know much about racing in a pack that day, and raced greenly, which probably cost her a closer finish in what will turn out to be a very strong race. She has a nasty gate this time, but if she starts, she will still be the one to beat. FLASHBACK (2) won 3 trials on the bounce before running second on debut, and then finishing third here as the favourite a fortnight ago. He will be peaking at the right time, and with some luck from a wide gate, he can get the job done. WITHALLMYGRACE (7) settled too far back from a wide gate at Ruakaka last time out and only plugged home off a muddling pace. She is much better than that, and with a more positive ride early on, she can bounce straight back into the money. TOMAHAWK (3) will improve further once he gets out over more ground, and NIGHT WOLF (1) is a promising gelding, so include both in all top 4 combos.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Was well-supported at debut, 3rd of 9 at Tauranga on January 8 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Sarti carrying 121lbs at $1.40. Rates highly and can break through. 1st Pick 8 Pilates Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Non Runner T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	94	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, 3rd of 9 at Tauranga on January 8 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Sarti carrying 121lbs at $1.40. Rates highly and can break through.
2	Lining up for just third start. At debut, 2nd of 11 at Tauranga on January 2 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Panther carrying 126lbs at $5.50. Second-up 3rd of 8 at this track on January 16 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind Glam Award with 127lbs at $2.60. Impressive of late. Close to a win and gets his chance this time. 2nd Pick 2 Flashback Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Opie Bosson T: Stephen Marsh	148	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Lining up for just third start. At debut, 2nd of 11 at Tauranga on January 2 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Panther carrying 126lbs at $5.50. Second-up 3rd of 8 at this track on January 16 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind Glam Award with 127lbs at $2.60. Impressive of late. Close to a win and gets his chance this time.
7	Last start 7th of 12 at Ruakaka on January 6 over 7f, slow going 0.5 len behind Autumn Glory carrying 117lbs at $3.10. The start before that 2nd of 8 at Ruakaka on December 17 over 6f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Cheerio with 115lbs at $5.50. Encouraging effort last start. Will take plenty of beating. 3rd Pick 7 Withallmygrace Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Jenna Mahoney J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Jenna Mahoney	134	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Last start 7th of 12 at Ruakaka on January 6 over 7f, slow going 0.5 len behind Autumn Glory carrying 117lbs at $3.10. The start before that 2nd of 8 at Ruakaka on December 17 over 6f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Cheerio with 115lbs at $5.50. Encouraging effort last start. Will take plenty of beating.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.