NZ - Te Rapa - Race 8

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

20.4K

VIEW

Verdict

EXPLOSIVE IMPACT (8) got back off a wide draw at Hawera 2 weeks ago and really hit the line hard, finishing sixth. She gets a big swing in her gate this time, and she will relish the extra 1f. If she is not already looking for more ground, then she can have the last say in this. TROUBLE MAKER (9) was an impressive maiden winner at Matamata in her penultimate start, and then made up a lot of ground to finish seventh here 3 weeks ago. She can figure in the top 3 again here. ZENITH (4) finished close up in fifth as the favourite at Arawa Park last start over 7f, and he can finish even closer over this more suitable trip of 1m. Follow your money. EVER CHARM (1) may not win often, but he is usually very consistent at this level. He is likely to settle back, so watch for him late again. Each way. GO JOANNA (14) whacked away fairly well for eighth at Avondale 10 days ago, and she is worth including in all top 4 combos in this sort of field.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Second-up. First-up after eight months eased back early on 6th of 12 at Hawera on July 11 over 7f, on heavy track, 5.5 len behind Digger carrying 119lbs at $8.20. Previously second-up made ground from midfield, 2nd of 7 at New Plymouth Raceway on August 16 over 7f, on heavy track, 1.0 len behind Florin carrying 120lbs at $3.10. Fitter and can break through. 1st Pick 8 Explosive Impact Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Allan Sharrock J: George Rooke T: Allan Sharrock	101	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after eight months eased back early on 6th of 12 at Hawera on July 11 over 7f, on heavy track, 5.5 len behind Digger carrying 119lbs at $8.20. Previously second-up made ground from midfield, 2nd of 7 at New Plymouth Raceway on August 16 over 7f, on heavy track, 1.0 len behind Florin carrying 120lbs at $3.10. Fitter and can break through.
9	Most recently eased back early on 7th of 14 at this track on July 4 over 1m, on a wet track, 4 len behind Afterglo carrying 126lbs at $14.80. The start before that won by 2.5 len at Matamata June 14 over 1m in soft going defeating No More Pennies with 125lbs at $9.10. Nicely placed and is ready for another bold showing. 2nd Pick 9 Trouble Maker Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Michael Mcnab T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	105	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Most recently eased back early on 7th of 14 at this track on July 4 over 1m, on a wet track, 4 len behind Afterglo carrying 126lbs at $14.80. The start before that won by 2.5 len at Matamata June 14 over 1m in soft going defeating No More Pennies with 125lbs at $9.10. Nicely placed and is ready for another bold showing.
4	Last start 5th of 12 at Arawa Park on July 1 over 7f, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Illustrious carrying 129lbs at $4.20. The start before that 10th of 14 at Matamata on June 14 over 6f, slow going 7 len behind Quondo with 126lbs at $11.20. Making headway. Rates a top 4 hope and can improve sharply. 3rd Pick 4 Zenith Jockey: Tom Wigram Trainer: John Bell J: Tom Wigram T: John Bell	65	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Last start 5th of 12 at Arawa Park on July 1 over 7f, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Illustrious carrying 129lbs at $4.20. The start before that 10th of 14 at Matamata on June 14 over 6f, slow going 7 len behind Quondo with 126lbs at $11.20. Making headway. Rates a top 4 hope and can improve sharply.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.