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3:57 AM

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 7

Thoroughbred
19 Runners
5.5f
Unknown
Turf
HEAVY 8
29.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CHARMROSE (9) has been patiently handled throughout her career, and that has paid dividends with a handy record. She ended her last prep with a brace of wins, and looks set for another profitable season after winning a recent trial. She comes to hand quickly, and should be a big winning threat fresh up. AFFIRMATIVE ACTION (11) has a strong 3YO campaign, and resumed from a spell with a cracking effort for fourth in the G2 Foxbridge Stakes just over 3 weeks ago. The drop back to 5 ½f won't be an issue, and with 10lbs less to carry, he has to be hard to hold out. SLIPPER ISLAND (8) is a handy sprinter who has performed with credit in the best of class, and this is about is right level. He normally takes a run to hit his straps, but his trial form has been very good leading into this. Each way value. LITTLE BIT OF LOVE (3) has been very consistent through a winter campaign, and is a chance again. GRINZINGER MOON (15) has not reached her ceiling yet, and is right in this fresh.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Charmrose silk

Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign by 0.7 len Ellerslie April 18 over 6f slow track defeating Grande Gallo with 120lbs at $4.80. Previous preparation first-up won by 0.8 len Ellerslie October 18 over 5 ½f defeating Scolera carrying 118lbs at $6.10. Everything points to a positive return.

1st Pick
9

Charmrose

Jockey: Kyle Wilson-Taylor

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

58---10%10/1

Analysis

Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign by 0.7 len Ellerslie April 18 over 6f slow track defeating Grande Gallo with 120lbs at $4.80. Previous preparation first-up won by 0.8 len Ellerslie October 18 over 5 ½f defeating Scolera carrying 118lbs at $6.10. Everything points to a positive return.

11
Affirmative Action silk

Second run back. First-up after six months 4th of 13 in the G2 Foxbridge Plate at this track on August 22 over 6f, slow going 1.5 len behind Alabama Lass carrying 129lbs at $26. Previously second-up won by a neck in the LR Sir Colin Meads Trophy at Ellerslie on September 6 2025 over 6f on a soft track defeating He Who Dares with 126lbs at $69.90. Will find this easier and is sure to measure up.

2nd Pick
11

Affirmative Action

Jockey: George Rooke

Trainer: Pam Gerard

J: George Rooke

T: Pam Gerard

188---16%11/2

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after six months 4th of 13 in the G2 Foxbridge Plate at this track on August 22 over 6f, slow going 1.5 len behind Alabama Lass carrying 129lbs at $26. Previously second-up won by a neck in the LR Sir Colin Meads Trophy at Ellerslie on September 6 2025 over 6f on a soft track defeating He Who Dares with 126lbs at $69.90. Will find this easier and is sure to measure up.

8
Slipper Island silk

Is first-up after a break of four-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign sixth of 8 at this track May 2 over 6f, soft track, 4 len behind Vegas Queen carrying 119lbs at $12.30. First up last campaign fifth of 9 at Trentham September 20 over 6f, soft track, 4 len behind Spencer with 127lbs at $5.60. Looks all set for a bright return.

3rd Pick
8

Slipper Island

Jockey: Michael Mcnab

Trainer: Tony Pike

J: Michael Mcnab

T: Tony Pike

83---8%13/1

Analysis

Is first-up after a break of four-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign sixth of 8 at this track May 2 over 6f, soft track, 4 len behind Vegas Queen carrying 119lbs at $12.30. First up last campaign fifth of 9 at Trentham September 20 over 6f, soft track, 4 len behind Spencer with 127lbs at $5.60. Looks all set for a bright return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.