NZ - Te Rapa - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

15.0K

VIEW

Verdict

KIA KAHA (4) raced handy before being shuffled back before the turn and finishing near last as the favourite at Whanganui nearly 3 weeks ago. Her form prior was building nicely, and she is nicely placed to make amends. Follow your money. BETHANY DEE (1) should have won 3 starts back, and then set the record straight by winning her penultimate start by a neck at Te Aroha, before finishing a bold runner-up here nearly 6 weeks ago. She has talent, so stick with her. VIRGO VIVA (11) trekked the pace and stuck on gamely for seventh in the G3 Desert Gold Stakes at Trentham nearly 2 weeks ago. She has a good gate and is expected to be fighting out the finish this time. Each way. DRAGON BLOSSOM (6) ran on late at Trentham last time out, and FLEETING GLIMPSE (7) will strip fitter after finishing fourth at Pukekohe 12 days ago. Both of these mares are well worth including in all top 4 combos.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Last start second last of 14 at Wanganui on January 10 over 6 ¾f, 8 len behind Anushka Shesastar with 128lbs at $3. Before that led but faded 3rd of 8 at Taupo on December 28 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Hard Roca carrying 126lbs at $3.70. Better than the last effort suggests and can bounce back. 1st Pick 4 Kia Kaha Jockey: Elen Nicholas Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Elen Nicholas T: Stephen Marsh	91	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start second last of 14 at Wanganui on January 10 over 6 ¾f, 8 len behind Anushka Shesastar with 128lbs at $3. Before that led but faded 3rd of 8 at Taupo on December 28 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Hard Roca carrying 126lbs at $3.70. Better than the last effort suggests and can bounce back.
1	Recent form sound. Comes here off a 41-day let-up. At the latest run 2nd of 13 at this track on December 20 over 1m, slow going 0.8 len behind Rambling On carrying 126lbs at $5. The run before that came from midfield and won by a long-neck at Te Aroha November 26 over 7f defeating Horrie with 125lbs at $4.20. In form and will be hard to beat. 2nd Pick 1 Bethany Dee Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: David Greene J: Warren Kennedy T: David Greene	112	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Recent form sound. Comes here off a 41-day let-up. At the latest run 2nd of 13 at this track on December 20 over 1m, slow going 0.8 len behind Rambling On carrying 126lbs at $5. The run before that came from midfield and won by a long-neck at Te Aroha November 26 over 7f defeating Horrie with 125lbs at $4.20. In form and will be hard to beat.
11	Last start 7th of 11 at Trentham in the G3 Desert Gold Stakes on January 17 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Fairy Dream carrying 125lbs at $11.10. The run before that 4th of 11 at Taupo on December 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Now Not Never carrying 121lbs at $3.10. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance. 3rd Pick 11 Virgo Viva Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Craig Grylls T: Andrew Forsman	200	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Last start 7th of 11 at Trentham in the G3 Desert Gold Stakes on January 17 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Fairy Dream carrying 125lbs at $11.10. The run before that 4th of 11 at Taupo on December 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.5 len behind Now Not Never carrying 121lbs at $3.10. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.