NZ - Te Rapa - Race 5

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

22.5K

VIEW

Verdict

DICKO'S DANCE (9) worked across to the lead then trailed a tearaway leader and dug in to score with a couple of big bounds late over 7f last start. The 4L margin back to 3rd says stick with me. FLASHBACK (5) fought on well first-up at 7f then running on but held up until the ¾f mark at Ellerslie last time. Beaten 1L 4th at Ellerslie in March in only start at 7 ½f. QUEEN SANSA (8) handy mare beaten in a tight finish over 1 m last start after sitting handy on the outer and score nicely over 7f at Te Aroha. This trip looks ideal now and is a danger here. LARK (14) got well back but made up a lot of ground to catch the runaway leader, Russian Prime last start at Taupo. Russian Prime won nicely at Hawera on Wednesday. HIP FLASK (3) battled late after a bad check 5f out on the heavy track 2 back then led and was reeled in by El Arish at Tauranga last time. Don't drop.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Raced two times to date. When well in the market at debut, 4th of 11 at Matamata on September 16 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Ifbymagic carrying 123lbs at $4.20. Second-up raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a 0.1 len at Tauranga on October 14 over 7f in soft going defeating Whistlejacket carrying 127lbs at $8.30. Sure to measure up. 1st Pick 9 Dicko's Dance Jockey: Matthew Cameron Trainer: Darryn & Briar Weatherley J: Matthew Cameron T: Darryn & Briar Weatherley	69	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Raced two times to date. When well in the market at debut, 4th of 11 at Matamata on September 16 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Ifbymagic carrying 123lbs at $4.20. Second-up raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by a 0.1 len at Tauranga on October 14 over 7f in soft going defeating Whistlejacket carrying 127lbs at $8.30. Sure to measure up.
5	Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 14 at Matamata on October 3 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Vanitygirl carrying 130lbs at $4.60. Second-up 6th of 14 at Ellerslie on October 17 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Waimea Bay with 130lbs at $4.70. Rates highly. Key chance expected to feature. 2nd Pick 5 Flashback Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Sam Mcnab T: Stephen Marsh	82	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 14 at Matamata on October 3 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Vanitygirl carrying 130lbs at $4.60. Second-up 6th of 14 at Ellerslie on October 17 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Waimea Bay with 130lbs at $4.70. Rates highly. Key chance expected to feature.
8	Recent form sound. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 14 at Waverley on October 18 over 1 m, slow going 0.8 len behind Fashion Savvy carrying 125lbs at $10.30. Before that won by 1.2 len at Te Aroha on September 18 over 7f in the wet defeating Foo Foo carrying 141lbs at $3.80. Went close last time. Will take plenty of beating. 3rd Pick 8 Queen Sansa Jockey: Samantha Collett Trainer: Emma Faber J: Samantha Collett T: Emma Faber	51	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 14 at Waverley on October 18 over 1 m, slow going 0.8 len behind Fashion Savvy carrying 125lbs at $10.30. Before that won by 1.2 len at Te Aroha on September 18 over 7f in the wet defeating Foo Foo carrying 141lbs at $3.80. Went close last time. Will take plenty of beating.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.