NZ - Te Rapa - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

OPEN

Turf

HEAVY 8

29.0K

VIEW

Verdict

LEVAKIA (6) loomed into the race when resuming at Ruakaka and only peaked late on her effort. The trip away and the run would have tightened up her condition, and with some luck from a tricky gate, she can improve to take this out, no matter what the track conditions are. THE ODYSSEY (2) is a quality 7YO gelding resuming from a spell with a couple of solid trials under his belt. He might need it but should not be taken lightly. PROBOY (12) is a progressive gelding fresh up from a spell, and his autumn form was very good. A recent trial will ensure that he will be ready to rumble. Follow any market confidence. RUDYARD (10) has not won for some time, but his last couple of efforts suggest that he won't have to wait too much longer, with a brace of second-place finishes. Stick with him. WOLFGANG (3) got up by a nose fresh up at Cambridge and he is just as likely to do the same here, if he produces a similar performance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Second run back. First-up after four months 5th of 8 at Ruakaka on August 15 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Reward Smile with 123lbs at $4.70. Previously second-up 9th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Queen Zou with 125lbs at $15.50. Expect she can make amends. 1st Pick 6 Levakia Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Ken Kelso J: Michael Mcnab T: Ken Kelso	92	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months 5th of 8 at Ruakaka on August 15 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Reward Smile with 123lbs at $4.70. Previously second-up 9th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Queen Zou with 125lbs at $15.50. Expect she can make amends.
2	Is first-up after a break of five-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign 13th of 16 at Trentham in the G2 Awpni Gold Cup March 28 over 1 5/16m, soft track, 9 len behind He's A Doozy with 121lbs at $5.20. Previously first up, third of 14 at Taupo October 10 over 6 ½f, soft track, 2.25 len behind Churchillian carrying 129lbs at $28.40. Expecting him to hit the ground running this campaign. 2nd Pick 2 The Odyssey Jockey: Rihaan Goyaram Trainer: Ben & Ryan Foote J: Rihaan Goyaram T: Ben & Ryan Foote	95	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Is first-up after a break of five-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign 13th of 16 at Trentham in the G2 Awpni Gold Cup March 28 over 1 5/16m, soft track, 9 len behind He's A Doozy with 121lbs at $5.20. Previously first up, third of 14 at Taupo October 10 over 6 ½f, soft track, 2.25 len behind Churchillian carrying 129lbs at $28.40. Expecting him to hit the ground running this campaign.
12	Gelding back from a spell of four-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign third of 14 at Arawa Park in the LR Rotorua Cup May 9 over 1m, in the wet, 2.75 len behind Pacifico carrying 117lbs at $5.90. When resuming last campaign 14th of 16 at Ellerslie October 18 over 7f, 6 len behind Summerston carrying 132lbs at $51.70. Each way claims fresh up. 3rd Pick 12 Proboy Jockey: Samantha Collett Trainer: Cody Cole J: Samantha Collett T: Cody Cole	60	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Gelding back from a spell of four-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign third of 14 at Arawa Park in the LR Rotorua Cup May 9 over 1m, in the wet, 2.75 len behind Pacifico carrying 117lbs at $5.90. When resuming last campaign 14th of 16 at Ellerslie October 18 over 7f, 6 len behind Summerston carrying 132lbs at $51.70. Each way claims fresh up.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.