NZ - Te Rapa - Race 4

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Unknown

Turf

HEAVY 8

20.5K

VIEW

Verdict

MAZINO (8) bolted in when scoring an overdue maiden win at Waverley by 3 lengths, and her next 2 starts have been full of merit when only being claimed late after leading to finish runner-up. She is perfectly drawn this time, and she should take some pegging back. TALE OF THE GYPSY (7) won a BM65 here fresh up, and her next 3 starts have all been in much tougher fields. She is nicely placed at this level with the same weight that she carried when she won, and a form reversal is on the cards. CONVINCED (11) won on debut before tackling Stakes company in her last couple of starts, including her last run in the NZB Kiwi at Ellerslie just over 5 weeks ago. Dropping back to 6f at this level is the key, and she is worth another chance. SIBLING RIVALRY (6) was a solid third at Tauranga fresh. Include. SHAMELESS STAR (4) fought on well enough after racing handy to the pace in a stronger field at Trentham 15 days ago. She cops a wide draw, but Michael McNab keeps the faith, and so do we.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Form hard to fault. Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 11 at Trentham on March 21 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Katamuku carrying 123lbs at $5.30. The run before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 10 at Pukekohe on February 25 over 7f, slow going 0.2 len behind Glance with 125lbs at $2.10. Sure to go close. 1st Pick 8 Mazino Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Matt Cartwright T: Stephen Marsh	81	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 11 at Trentham on March 21 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Katamuku carrying 123lbs at $5.30. The run before that tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 10 at Pukekohe on February 25 over 7f, slow going 0.2 len behind Glance with 125lbs at $2.10. Sure to go close.
7	Last start raced on the pace before fading second last of 13 at Trentham on March 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Lady Iris with 123lbs at $23.90. The run before that second last of 9 at Tauranga on March 14 over 6f, in the wet, 16 len behind Platinum Pantheon with 123lbs at $11.60. Better placed here. Right in the mix. 2nd Pick 7 Tale Of The Gypsy Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Sam Mcnab T: Stephen Marsh	74	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Last start raced on the pace before fading second last of 13 at Trentham on March 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Lady Iris with 123lbs at $23.90. The run before that second last of 9 at Tauranga on March 14 over 6f, in the wet, 16 len behind Platinum Pantheon with 123lbs at $11.60. Better placed here. Right in the mix.
11	Comes off a 36 day let-up. Last start ran last of 14 at Ellerslie in the LR Nzb Kiwi on March 7 over 7 ½f, 21 len behind Well Written with 121lbs at $188.20. Before that 8th of 12 at Ellerslie in the G3 Uncle Remus on February 21 over 7f, slow going 2.75 len behind Belle Cheval with 121lbs at $17.90. Willing to give her another chance. 3rd Pick 11 Convinced Jockey: Corentin Berge Trainer: Kris Shailer J: Corentin Berge T: Kris Shailer	126	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Comes off a 36 day let-up. Last start ran last of 14 at Ellerslie in the LR Nzb Kiwi on March 7 over 7 ½f, 21 len behind Well Written with 121lbs at $188.20. Before that 8th of 12 at Ellerslie in the G3 Uncle Remus on February 21 over 7f, slow going 2.75 len behind Belle Cheval with 121lbs at $17.90. Willing to give her another chance.

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