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1:45 AM

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 3

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 8
14.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SHIRASE (11) finished just over length from the winner here when fourth on debut over this trip. Her trial form prior was very good, and she can only improve from that experience. Michael McNab has picked up the ride, and she can win a maiden shortly. LINE DANCER (1) is heading the right way with her form this prep, and she stuck on bravely after finding the front from a wide draw at Ruakaka nearly 8 weeks ago, finishing runner-up by half-a-length. Dropping back to 6f is ideal off a freshen up, and she can take them all the way this time. HAIKU (2) resumes from a spell after showing plenty of promise as a 3YO in her initial prep last season. A recent trial would have topped her off nicely for her return, and she is expected to be very competitive fresh. MATEARA (6) is a 4YO mare making her debut, and her recent trial win indicates that she won't be in this class for long. TZARINA'S CROWN (7) won her latest trial, and has been given plenty of time to mature. Follow the market.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
11
Shirase silk

At debut, 4th of 13 at this track on August 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Texas Cowboy carrying 122lbs at $5.40. Promising three-year-old filly who has plenty of scope for improvement.

1st Pick
11

Shirase

Jockey: Michael Mcnab

Trainer: Tony Pike

J: Michael Mcnab

T: Tony Pike

153---39%13/8

Analysis

At debut, 4th of 13 at this track on August 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Texas Cowboy carrying 122lbs at $5.40. Promising three-year-old filly who has plenty of scope for improvement.

1
Line Dancer silk

Comes here off a 57-day let-up. Last start crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 14 at Ruakaka on July 18 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Pact with 116lbs at $5.40. The run before that 3rd of 14 at Ellerslie on June 20 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Kusuda Rush with 116lbs at $110.70. Made headway last time. Big chance to find winning form.

2nd Pick
1

Line Dancer

Jockey: Samantha Collett

Trainer: Kylie Hoskin

J: Samantha Collett

T: Kylie Hoskin

53---7%15/1

Analysis

Comes here off a 57-day let-up. Last start crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 14 at Ruakaka on July 18 over 7f, 0.5 len behind Pact with 116lbs at $5.40. The run before that 3rd of 14 at Ellerslie on June 20 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Kusuda Rush with 116lbs at $110.70. Made headway last time. Big chance to find winning form.

2
Haiku silk

Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation third of 15 at this track Mdn-Sw January 16 over 7f, soft track, 3.5 len behind Single Red carrying 121lbs at $17.40. On debut sixth of 10 at Arawa Park December 5 over 6f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Cheeky Devil with 120lbs at $15.10. Everything points to a bright return.

3rd Pick
2

Haiku

Jockey: George Rooke

Trainer: Shelley Hale

J: George Rooke

T: Shelley Hale

52---10%9/1

Analysis

Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation third of 15 at this track Mdn-Sw January 16 over 7f, soft track, 3.5 len behind Single Red carrying 121lbs at $17.40. On debut sixth of 10 at Arawa Park December 5 over 6f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Cheeky Devil with 120lbs at $15.10. Everything points to a bright return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.