NZ - Te Rapa - Race 1

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

10.4f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

15.0K

VIEW

Verdict

NAVY DREAMS (8) probably should have won a race by now, and was a brave fifth in the Listed Gingernuts Salver at Ellerslie nearly 3 weeks ago over this trip, finishing a length behind the winner. He has a good gate and is long overdue to break his duck. GENKI (9) was eighth and not far behind the top pick in the same race. That was his first run over a middle distance, and he will be improved by the run. Each way claims in this. BERTIE WOOSTER (3) knuckled down late to finish third here a fortnight ago, and he only needs to relax a touch better in his races to be a big winning threat. Stick with him, as his first win is not far away. ROCKY BALBOA (2) finally gets a decent draw, and he has shown enough in the past to say he will win a race at short notice. Include in all top 4 combos. UNODOSTRESCUATRO (1) has been knocking on the door and he put the writing on the wall last time out at Taupo when finishing runner-up by a nose. The extra 1 ½f is key. Go again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Last start 5th of 13 at Ellerslie in the LR Gingernuts Salver on January 11 over 1 5/16m, 1.0 len behind Ammirati carrying 126lbs at $10.10. The race before that second last of 10 at Ellerslie on January 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Towering Vision carrying 123lbs at $6.50. Encouraging effort last start. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance. 1st Pick 8 Navy Dreams Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Barry Donoghue J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Barry Donoghue	87	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Last start 5th of 13 at Ellerslie in the LR Gingernuts Salver on January 11 over 1 5/16m, 1.0 len behind Ammirati carrying 126lbs at $10.10. The race before that second last of 10 at Ellerslie on January 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Towering Vision carrying 123lbs at $6.50. Encouraging effort last start. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.
9	At the latest run 8th of 13 at Ellerslie in the LR Gingernuts Salver on January 11 over 1 5/16m, 2.5 len behind Ammirati carrying 126lbs at $17.70. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 14 at Matamata on December 19 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Los Santos carrying 127lbs at $7.70. Hard to beat on his best form. 2nd Pick 9 Genki Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Non Runner T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	92	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis At the latest run 8th of 13 at Ellerslie in the LR Gingernuts Salver on January 11 over 1 5/16m, 2.5 len behind Ammirati carrying 126lbs at $17.70. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 14 at Matamata on December 19 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Los Santos carrying 127lbs at $7.70. Hard to beat on his best form.
3	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 12 at this track on January 16 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 3 len behind My Fair Lily with 129lbs at $5.50. The start before that 4th of 9 at Te Aroha on January 3 over 1m, in the wet, 8 len behind Horrie with 129lbs at $3.30. Can improve again. Rates highly on best form and can feature. 3rd Pick 3 Bertie Wooster Jockey: Darren Danis Trainer: Chris Wood J: Darren Danis T: Chris Wood	59	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 12 at this track on January 16 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 3 len behind My Fair Lily with 129lbs at $5.50. The start before that 4th of 9 at Te Aroha on January 3 over 1m, in the wet, 8 len behind Horrie with 129lbs at $3.30. Can improve again. Rates highly on best form and can feature.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.