NZ - Tauranga - Race 9

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

10.7K

VIEW

Verdict

AKSIL (6) tackled tougher company last time out at Ellerslie after an impressive debut win at Taupo in October. He only battled that day and has been freshened up. He has the pole position and can get his season back on track with a win in this. Follow your money. THE ESPY (9) did not fire fresh up at Trentham in a stronger field there nearly 4 weeks ago, and could have needed the run. He is far better than that, and with the blinkers on, he can make amends. Stick with him. WILLIT (2) will be peaking third up, and he has won here in the past, which is an advantage. Each way value in this. BONIFLEUR (5) fought on gamely for third fresh up at Te Aroha just over 5 weeks ago. She likes it here and will relish the extra 1 ¼f on offer. She strips fitter, and won't be far away. OBERON (7) was not far away on debut, and then improved to win by half a length at Te Aroha last time out when racing on the pace. He has more to offer and can repeat the dose.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Third race start today. At debut, favourite, won by 1.3 len at Taupo October 10 over 6 ½f in soft going defeating Ashoka carrying 123lbs at $5.40. Last start raced on the pace before fading second last of 9 at Ellerslie on November 4 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Affirmative Action with 126lbs at $2.70. Best form stacks up so he is worth another chance. 1st Pick 6 Aksil Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Simon & Katrina Alexander J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Simon & Katrina Alexander	125	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Third race start today. At debut, favourite, won by 1.3 len at Taupo October 10 over 6 ½f in soft going defeating Ashoka carrying 123lbs at $5.40. Last start raced on the pace before fading second last of 9 at Ellerslie on November 4 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Affirmative Action with 126lbs at $2.70. Best form stacks up so he is worth another chance.
9	Second run back. First-up after eight months raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 7 at Trentham on December 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 33 len behind Our Sniper carrying 126lbs at $4.50. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at this track March 30 over 5 ½f defeating Belle Noire with 127lbs at $2.10. Strips fitter and will be tough to beat. 2nd Pick 9 The Espy Jockey: Wiremu Pinn Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Wiremu Pinn T: Andrew Forsman	152	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after eight months raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 7 at Trentham on December 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 33 len behind Our Sniper carrying 126lbs at $4.50. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at this track March 30 over 5 ½f defeating Belle Noire with 127lbs at $2.10. Strips fitter and will be tough to beat.
2	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 9th of 14 at this track on November 1 over 6 ½f, slow going 2.75 len behind Osteria carrying 131lbs at $7.50. Last start 4th of 12 at Arawa Park on December 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Live On Air carrying 130lbs at $5.10. Racing well. Big chance. 3rd Pick 2 Willit Jockey: Samantha Collett Trainer: Debbie Sweeney J: Samantha Collett T: Debbie Sweeney	125	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 9th of 14 at this track on November 1 over 6 ½f, slow going 2.75 len behind Osteria carrying 131lbs at $7.50. Last start 4th of 12 at Arawa Park on December 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Live On Air carrying 130lbs at $5.10. Racing well. Big chance.

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