NZ - Tauranga - Race 8

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

10.7K

VIEW

Verdict

CHARMROSE (5) missed out on a hat-trick of wins when being run down late for fifth at Ellerslie nearly 5 weeks ago. She clung on by a head here before that, and with Opie Bosson in the saddle this time, she will take some pegging back. PARAVANE (11) showed pace to lead and bolt in by 3 lengths at Te Aroha fresh up just over 5 weeks ago. Se cops a wide gate here, but is expected to be very competitive again. Each way. TAKESHI (1) set the pace fresh up and only weakened late when finishing fifth in his only run this season in the spring. He has trialled since then, and is well worth each-way consideration. YALDI (2) is back in NZ after recently racing in Victoria, and he has the pace to hold his spot from the pole position. The market will be a good guide to his chances. EGYPTIAN QUEEN (3) has been consistent throughout her career in some good fields, and she resumes from a spell with 2 trials under her belt. If she doesn't need the hit-out, then with a hot pace likely, she can win.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Comes off a 34 day let-up. Most recently did the work up front then tired 5th of 12 at Ellerslie on November 29 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Sweynesday carrying 120lbs at $5.60. Before that won by a head at this track November 15 over 6f on a soft track defeating Kitty Flash with 121lbs at $8.70. Very tough to beat. 1st Pick 5 Charmrose Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Opie Bosson T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	224	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Comes off a 34 day let-up. Most recently did the work up front then tired 5th of 12 at Ellerslie on November 29 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Sweynesday carrying 120lbs at $5.60. Before that won by a head at this track November 15 over 6f on a soft track defeating Kitty Flash with 121lbs at $8.70. Very tough to beat.
11	Second-up. Comes off a 37-day let-up. First-up after six months won by 3 len at Te Aroha November 26 over 5 ¾f defeating Hot Card with 119lbs at $3.80. Previously second-up second last in a small field at Te Rapa on May 31 over 5 ½f, on a wet track, 2.5 len behind Tristar carrying 122lbs at $7.30. Can go on with it. Fitter again and expected to go close. 2nd Pick 11 Paravane Jockey: Hayley Hassman Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Hayley Hassman T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	84	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Second-up. Comes off a 37-day let-up. First-up after six months won by 3 len at Te Aroha November 26 over 5 ¾f defeating Hot Card with 119lbs at $3.80. Previously second-up second last in a small field at Te Rapa on May 31 over 5 ½f, on a wet track, 2.5 len behind Tristar carrying 122lbs at $7.30. Can go on with it. Fitter again and expected to go close.
1	Back from a spell. Only had one start last campaign did the work up front then tired 5th of 12 at Te Rapa on September 14 over 7f, on a wet track, 3 len behind Kaimai Queen carrying 132lbs at $7.70. When resuming last campaign 10th of 13 at this track on January 10 over 6f, 4 len behind Tristar with 127lbs at $5.70. Trialled on December 16 at Avondale over 5 ½f and finished fifth. Expected to feature. 3rd Pick 1 Takeshi Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Craig Grylls T: Stephen Marsh	92	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Back from a spell. Only had one start last campaign did the work up front then tired 5th of 12 at Te Rapa on September 14 over 7f, on a wet track, 3 len behind Kaimai Queen carrying 132lbs at $7.70. When resuming last campaign 10th of 13 at this track on January 10 over 6f, 4 len behind Tristar with 127lbs at $5.70. Trialled on December 16 at Avondale over 5 ½f and finished fifth. Expected to feature.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.