NZ - Tauranga - Race 7

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 7

10.7K

VIEW

Verdict

MILLER'S POINT (8) won a trial before storming home to finish second by a short-head at Te Aroha nearly 4 weeks ago. She is likely to get back again from a wide gate, but if the gaps come at the right time, she can have the last say. Follow your money. TOMAHAWK (7) was a beaten favourite on debut after some solid trial form leading up to that performance. He is bred to improve with racing, and can make amends. Follow your money. PANTHER (5) was put aside after a big effort for second on debut at Trentham last April. He has trialled up in December, and will pick up a win at short notice. SARTI (3) is a superbly bred gelding who has been given plenty of time to mature. He won a trial in December and can make a winning debut. Check the market. GLACIAL STORM (15) is a promising filly and will be peaking third up. She has a slightly better draw this time, and she can take this out. CIAO BELLISSIMA (12) was a fast finishing third on debut, and from a good gate, she can take this out.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Second-up. First-up after eight months 2nd of 11 at Te Aroha on December 7 over 5 ¾f, head behind Cosmopolitan with 125lbs at $3.20. Previously second-up ran last in a small field at Ellerslie in the G3 Sunline Vase on March 8 over 1 5/16m, slow going 5.5 len behind Island Life carrying 125lbs at $7.40. Winning chance with that run under the belt. 1st Pick 8 Miller's Point Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Trevor Da Cruz J: Non Runner T: Trevor Da Cruz	179	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after eight months 2nd of 11 at Te Aroha on December 7 over 5 ¾f, head behind Cosmopolitan with 125lbs at $3.20. Previously second-up ran last in a small field at Ellerslie in the G3 Sunline Vase on March 8 over 1 5/16m, slow going 5.5 len behind Island Life carrying 125lbs at $7.40. Winning chance with that run under the belt.
7	Was well-supported at debut, 7th of 11 at Trentham on December 14 over 6f, 7 len behind Precipice with 126lbs at $3.30. Expected to be in the finish. 2nd Pick 7 Tomahawk Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Non Runner T: Andrew Forsman	86	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, 7th of 11 at Trentham on December 14 over 6f, 7 len behind Precipice with 126lbs at $3.30. Expected to be in the finish.
5	Resuming from a lengthy break. Only one run when 2nd of 11 at Te Rapa on April 26 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Lubeck carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign. 3rd Pick 5 Panther Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Craig Grylls T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	128	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Resuming from a lengthy break. Only one run when 2nd of 11 at Te Rapa on April 26 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Lubeck carrying 123lbs at $5.50. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.