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3:44 AM

NZ - Tauranga - Race 7

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
10.4f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
9.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

A tough stayers maiden is up next, and we have ERASE (2) on top after he was a beaten favourite at Cambridge last start when struggling to cope with the sharp step up in trip from 7f to 1 ¼m. She still battled away gamely, and he will be a lot sharper for this assignment. Follow your money. DENVER (1) was runner-up at Te Rapa on Sunday, and he has been placed on this track in the past, which is an advantage. The wetter the better for this gelding, and he can go one better. ROMANIN (13) was unlucky when finishing sixth at Matamata after being pushed very wide to make her run in the home straight. She is peaking at the right time, and she only needs the right run to be the winner here. DJIBOUTI (12) is a promising filly with 3 placings in 4 starts, with her last start second place finish suggesting that her first win is not far away. TEAMS (7) is slowing getting there, and the step up to 1 5/16m could be the making of this gelding. Stick with him on an each-way basis.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Erase silk

Most recently 6th of 12 at Cambridge Synthetic on May 20 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Naughty Grannie carrying 122lbs at $4.40. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 at Arawa Park on April 22 over 7f, on rain affected going, 9 len behind Shuffle The Pack with 122lbs at $5.80. Capable of sharp improvement.

1st Pick
2

Erase

Jockey: Joe Nishizuka

Trainer: Stephen Ralph

J: Joe Nishizuka

T: Stephen Ralph

148---9%11/1

Analysis

Most recently 6th of 12 at Cambridge Synthetic on May 20 over 1 ¼m, 6 len behind Naughty Grannie carrying 122lbs at $4.40. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 at Arawa Park on April 22 over 7f, on rain affected going, 9 len behind Shuffle The Pack with 122lbs at $5.80. Capable of sharp improvement.

1
Denver silk

Last start raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 11 at Te Rapa on May 24 over 1m, slow going 0.0 len behind Moretothinkabout carrying 129lbs at $9.80. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 at Ellerslie on May 6 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Silver Patch with 129lbs at $8.20. Looks a key runner.

2nd Pick
1

Denver

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Danica Guy

J: Craig Grylls

T: Danica Guy

115---31%9/4

Analysis

Last start raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 11 at Te Rapa on May 24 over 1m, slow going 0.0 len behind Moretothinkabout carrying 129lbs at $9.80. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 at Ellerslie on May 6 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Silver Patch with 129lbs at $8.20. Looks a key runner.

13
Romanin silk

Third-up today. Resuming came from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Pukekohe on May 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Allaces with 125lbs at $8.40. Second-up 6th of 14 at Matamata on May 13 over 1 ¼m, slow going 6 len behind Heza Sharp One with 119lbs at $9.80. Ready to peak after two runs back and is sure to run well.

3rd Pick
13

Romanin

Jockey: Samantha Collett

Trainer: Steven Ramsay & Julia Ritchie

J: Samantha Collett

T: Steven Ramsay & Julia Ritchie

228---14%13/2

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming came from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Pukekohe on May 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Allaces with 125lbs at $8.40. Second-up 6th of 14 at Matamata on May 13 over 1 ¼m, slow going 6 len behind Heza Sharp One with 119lbs at $9.80. Ready to peak after two runs back and is sure to run well.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.