NZ - Tauranga - Race 4

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 7

10.7K

VIEW

Verdict

SIR YOU CAN DANCE (3) won a trial prior to finishing third as the favourite on debut at Te Aroha nearly 4 weeks ago over 5 ¾f. He cops a tough gate, but has plenty of scope, and the extra 1 ¼f will make all the difference here. On top for us. BAK DE ACE (2) was put aside after finishing third as an odds-on favourite at Waverley on debut in February last year. He has trialled twice in the lead-up to his return, and if his stable starts him from a wide gate, then he will be hard to hold out. Watch for him late. VOLUNTEER (4) made up a lot of late ground to run into fourth here fresh up 3 weeks ago. He cops another wide gate, but Craig Grylls sticks with him, and so do we. I'LL BE HOME SOON (6) showed pace before fading on debut at Te Aroha just over 5 weeks ago when making his debut. He will naturally improve with the experience, and may take some pegging back in this. CAPTAIN STAN (1) will be peaking third up, and is worth including in all top 4 combos to be safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Was well in the market at debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 13 at Te Aroha on December 7 over 5 ¾f, 6 len behind Drops Of God carrying 129lbs at $4.50. Will derive great benefit from that outing and looks the testing material. 1st Pick 3 Sir You Can Dance Jockey: Joe Doyle Trainer: Cody Cole J: Joe Doyle T: Cody Cole	100	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Was well in the market at debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 13 at Te Aroha on December 7 over 5 ¾f, 6 len behind Drops Of God carrying 129lbs at $4.50. Will derive great benefit from that outing and looks the testing material.
2	Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when 3rd of 11 at Waverley on February 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind El Jaycee with 128lbs at $1.80. Looks all set for a bright return. 2nd Pick 2 Bak De Ace Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	153	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when 3rd of 11 at Waverley on February 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind El Jaycee with 128lbs at $1.80. Looks all set for a bright return.
4	Racing second-up today. Last start 4th of 14 at this track on December 12 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Khaleesi carrying 129lbs at $8.70. At only start last preparation 11th of 14 at Taupo on October 10 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Aksil carrying 129lbs at $29.80. Fitter and rates highly. 3rd Pick 4 Volunteer Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall J: Craig Grylls T: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall	138	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Racing second-up today. Last start 4th of 14 at this track on December 12 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Khaleesi carrying 129lbs at $8.70. At only start last preparation 11th of 14 at Taupo on October 10 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 8 len behind Aksil carrying 129lbs at $29.80. Fitter and rates highly.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.