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12:57 midnight

NZ - Tauranga - Race 3

Thoroughbred
19 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 7
10.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LYDIARD PARK (2) has a big private reputation and bolted home in a recent Avondale trial. He cops a wide gate, but if his stable chooses to line him up, then he would be too good for this field. On top. BELLISH BOY (6) was a short-priced favourite when finishing seventh on debut off a wide trip here 3 weeks ago. He has a wide gate here, but he will be better for the recent experience, and his first win is not far away. BURNERPHONE (11) hit the line strongly for fourth at Avondale nearly 8 weeks ago, and was runner-up in a recent trial behind the top pick. She has sound each-way claims this time. UPTOWN (15) makes her debut with plenty of trial experience under her belt. She has a tricky gate, but any market support is worth following. SPIRITUS (7) did himself no favours by racing greenly fresh up at Te Aroha, and will naturally improve second up. He has had a gear change and is worth another chance.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Lydiard Park silk

Resuming after a break, only one run when 5th of 11 at Ruakaka 3yo Mdn-Sw on September 3 over 6f, slow going 5 len behind Transcend with 127lbs at $7.10. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Expected to feature.

1st Pick
2

Lydiard Park

Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume

Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

J: Masahiro Hashizume

T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

90---20%4/1

Analysis

Resuming after a break, only one run when 5th of 11 at Ruakaka 3yo Mdn-Sw on September 3 over 6f, slow going 5 len behind Transcend with 127lbs at $7.10. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Expected to feature.

6
Bellish Boy silk

Dual acceptor. Was well-supported at debut, 7th of 11 at this track on December 12 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Belle Noire with 126lbs at $2.10. Expected to do far better this time. Shows promise and worth following up.

2nd Pick
6

Bellish Boy

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Craig Grylls

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

145---13%7/1

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Was well-supported at debut, 7th of 11 at this track on December 12 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Belle Noire with 126lbs at $2.10. Expected to do far better this time. Shows promise and worth following up.

11
Burnerphone silk

Having third race start. At debut, 5th of 10 at Taupo on October 10 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 5 len behind General Menari carrying 122lbs at $14.20. Second-up 4th of 14 at Avondale on November 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Hey Dana carrying 122lbs at $4.70. The longer journey should suit so a better run is on the cards.

3rd Pick
11

Burnerphone

Jockey: Hayley Hassman

Trainer: Benjamin King

J: Hayley Hassman

T: Benjamin King

114---13%7/1

Analysis

Having third race start. At debut, 5th of 10 at Taupo on October 10 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 5 len behind General Menari carrying 122lbs at $14.20. Second-up 4th of 14 at Avondale on November 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Hey Dana carrying 122lbs at $4.70. The longer journey should suit so a better run is on the cards.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).