NZ - Tauranga - Race 2

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

10.4f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

10.7K

VIEW

Verdict

MOONLIGHT MAGIC (6) got too far out of her ground in tougher company at Trentham nearly a fortnight ago, and ran on too late. The visor blinkers go on, and with a more positive ride in a smaller field, she is the one to beat. AWHINA (3) has raced her race back into some good form and has won over this trip in the past. Each way claims in an even field. LEVAKIA (5) has been racing her way into full fitness, and just peaked on her run late here 3 weeks ago. She is now ready to show some good form again. Each way. RUACH (7) has a good record on his home track and is likely to secure a cosy run early on. He won't lack fitness and can figure in the top 3 here. POINTER (8) has been mixing her form and failed to fire from a wide gate here 3 weeks ago. The smaller field this time will suit her, and she is worth another chance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Last start 6th of 14 at Trentham in the G3 Manawatu Cup on December 20 over 1 7/16m, slow going 6 len behind Sagunto with 117lbs at $17.90. The run before that 9th of 14 at Te Rapa in the G3 Waikato Cup on December 13 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 8 len behind Sharp 'N' Smart carrying 119lbs at $31.70. Better placed and expected to go well. 1st Pick 6 Moonlight Magic Jockey: Joe Doyle Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Joe Doyle T: Andrew Forsman	120	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Last start 6th of 14 at Trentham in the G3 Manawatu Cup on December 20 over 1 7/16m, slow going 6 len behind Sagunto with 117lbs at $17.90. The run before that 9th of 14 at Te Rapa in the G3 Waikato Cup on December 13 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 8 len behind Sharp 'N' Smart carrying 119lbs at $31.70. Better placed and expected to go well.
3	Recent form sound. Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Te Rapa on December 20 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Roctave with 125lbs at $16.40. The start before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 at Arawa Park on December 5 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Gallant Hero with 122lbs at $23.50. Well placed. Has ability and can run a forward race. 2nd Pick 3 Awhina Jockey: Darren Danis Trainer: Nicholas Bishara J: Darren Danis T: Nicholas Bishara	60	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Te Rapa on December 20 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Roctave with 125lbs at $16.40. The start before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 11 at Arawa Park on December 5 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Gallant Hero with 122lbs at $23.50. Well placed. Has ability and can run a forward race.
5	Last start 6th of 12 at this track on December 12 over 1 5/16m, slow going 4.5 len behind Mollify with 123lbs at $7.80. The race before that 9th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Queen Zou carrying 125lbs at $15.50. This looks a nice assignment so expect a lot more. 3rd Pick 5 Levakia Jockey: Jasmine Fawcett Trainer: Ken & Bev Kelso J: Jasmine Fawcett T: Ken & Bev Kelso	128	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Last start 6th of 12 at this track on December 12 over 1 5/16m, slow going 4.5 len behind Mollify with 123lbs at $7.80. The race before that 9th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Queen Zou carrying 125lbs at $15.50. This looks a nice assignment so expect a lot more.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.