NZ - Tauranga - Race 2

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

9.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Another large maiden field here, and we like ONE BOLD FLOOZIE (4) after she put the writing on the wall with a solid second place finish by a head at Hawera 12 days ago. She has a good gate, and she can go one better. SHE MEANS BUSINESS (7) has finished fourth in all of her 3 starts to date, and she hit the line too late at Matamata last time out. She stays at 7f, which is a query for us, but if the tempo is strong, she will be slicing through late again. Each way. RYBAKINA (2) has raced her way into form with experience, and her last 3 starts have all been very good, finishing runner-up in each of them. She is capable of racing off the front, or running on from the back, and with the right run, she will go close to taking this out. CONFECTIONIST (5) looked a lot better fresh up when finishing second off the back off a pair of trial wins. She strips fitter, and she won't be in this class for much longer. KIND OF BLUE (3) will be backing up from Sunday, and she is worth including.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Recent form sound. Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 9 at Hawera on May 17 over 7f, slow going 0.3 len behind Madison with 127lbs at $6.10. The run before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 10 at Woodville on April 29 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Lucky Dice with 122lbs at $4.90. Went close last time. Yet to break through this time in work but looks close following two minor placings from four runs. 1st Pick 4 One Bold Floozie Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Robbie Patterson J: Craig Grylls T: Robbie Patterson	98	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 9 at Hawera on May 17 over 7f, slow going 0.3 len behind Madison with 127lbs at $6.10. The run before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 10 at Woodville on April 29 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Lucky Dice with 122lbs at $4.90. Went close last time. Yet to break through this time in work but looks close following two minor placings from four runs.
7	Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Most recently came from midfield, 4th of 14 at Matamata on May 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Priovita carrying 125lbs at $6.70. Before that 4th of 8 at Arawa Park on April 22 over 6f, in the wet, 2.75 len behind Elusive Faith carrying 119lbs at $6.20. Can turn things around. 2nd Pick 7 She Means Business Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	97	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Most recently came from midfield, 4th of 14 at Matamata on May 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Priovita carrying 125lbs at $6.70. Before that 4th of 8 at Arawa Park on April 22 over 6f, in the wet, 2.75 len behind Elusive Faith carrying 119lbs at $6.20. Can turn things around.
2	Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd of 8 at Ellerslie on May 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Bonnie Gem carrying 127lbs at $4.10. The start before that 2nd in a small field at Hawera on April 17 over 7f, in the wet, 0.4 len behind Ikan with 122lbs at $3.30. Perfectly placed to get off the mark. 3rd Pick 2 Rybakina Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray J: Michael Mcnab T: Shaune Ritchie & Colm Murray	158	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd of 8 at Ellerslie on May 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Bonnie Gem carrying 127lbs at $4.10. The start before that 2nd in a small field at Hawera on April 17 over 7f, in the wet, 0.4 len behind Ikan with 122lbs at $3.30. Perfectly placed to get off the mark.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.