NZ - Trentham - Race 8

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

23.3K

VIEW

Verdict

MA TE WA (4) is a very promising gelding who has been kept on ice since winning here in September. He has yet to be tested on a good surface, but would have attended some local jumpouts on his home track to maintain his fitness. He benefits from a 7lbs claim and is well placed to take this out. OSTERIA (10) only battled at this level last time out at Ellerslie, after a tough head win in BM65 company before that. The step up to 7f is the key, and he is worth another chance. Each way. FRENCH DOLL (9) fought on gamely off a wide gate to finish fifth at Otaki 2 weeks ago, and she will be peaking third up from a spell, and she has won twice here. OMEGA BOY (5) has been runner-up in both of his runs this season, and he will be peaking third up. Craig Grylls in the saddle adds to the confidence, and he can go one better this time.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Back from a spell. Only had one start last preparation favourite, won by 1.0 len at this track September 20 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Benefactor carrying 120lbs at $1.90. Won previous preparation first up favourite, scored a big 4.5 len win at Wanganui May 31 over 6 ¾f on a heavy track defeating Roar Of The Jungle with 129lbs at $2.90. Runner-up in a Foxton trial over 5f on October 21. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign. 1st Pick 4 Ma Te Wa Jockey: Sima Mxothwa Trainer: Robbie Patterson J: Sima Mxothwa T: Robbie Patterson	98	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Back from a spell. Only had one start last preparation favourite, won by 1.0 len at this track September 20 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Benefactor carrying 120lbs at $1.90. Won previous preparation first up favourite, scored a big 4.5 len win at Wanganui May 31 over 6 ¾f on a heavy track defeating Roar Of The Jungle with 129lbs at $2.90. Runner-up in a Foxton trial over 5f on October 21. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign.
10	At the latest run 10th of 12 at Ellerslie on November 29 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Sweynesday with 125lbs at $26.10. The start before that won by a neck at Tauranga November 1 over 6 ½f in soft going defeating Inside Out carrying 130lbs at $5.20. Capable of sharp improvement. 2nd Pick 10 Osteria Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: George Rooke T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	161	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis At the latest run 10th of 12 at Ellerslie on November 29 over 5 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Sweynesday with 125lbs at $26.10. The start before that won by a neck at Tauranga November 1 over 6 ½f in soft going defeating Inside Out carrying 130lbs at $5.20. Capable of sharp improvement.
8	Racing third-up today. Last run he was flying home for fourth at Tauherenikau on December 10. Before that he was 10th of 15 at Riccarton Park on November 15 over 6f, on rain-affected going, 6 len behind Brave Spirit carrying 129lbs at $7.80. Rates highly and can take this out. 3rd Pick 8 He's Lucid Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Kevin Myers J: Non Runner T: Kevin Myers	130	-	-	-	6%	Scratched
Analysis Racing third-up today. Last run he was flying home for fourth at Tauherenikau on December 10. Before that he was 10th of 15 at Riccarton Park on November 15 over 6f, on rain-affected going, 6 len behind Brave Spirit carrying 129lbs at $7.80. Rates highly and can take this out.

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