NZ - Trentham - Race 7

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

OPEN

Turf

HEAVY 10

57.6K

VIEW

Verdict

KNOCK OFF (10) was back to his best when leading all the way to score by nearly 2 lengths at Hastings 4 weeks ago, and he is perfectly placed with only 117lbs to carry here. Stick with him on top. CHEVAL DE FOUDRE (11) has been in good form with his races well spaced through a winter campaign. He has trialled up nicely since his last run for second at Te Rapa 8 weeks ago. Stick with him on an each-way basis. FREDDIE TIME (5) has been very strong to the line in both of his starts back from a spell over trips that were well short of his best. The extra 2f is ideal third up, and he will be hard to hold out here. WHO KNOWS (6) resumes from a spell, and she has won 2 of her 4 starts fresh up in the past. Her trial form says she will be ready to rumble. Include in all top 4 combos in an even contest. HI YO SASS BOMB (3) needed her resuming run over 6f at Whanganui 3 weeks ago, and she should not be risked second up over a more suitable 1m. Keep her safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, won by 1.75 len at Hastings on August 22 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Benefactor with 119lbs at $2.80. The run before that rolled along in front before being edged out 2nd of 7 at Otaki on July 30 over 1m, on a wet track, 4.5 len behind Benefactor with 119lbs at $3.40. Tough to beat on latest and can measure up again. 1st Pick 10 Knock Off Jockey: Leah Hemi Trainer: Gerard Cvitanovich J: Leah Hemi T: Gerard Cvitanovich	132	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, won by 1.75 len at Hastings on August 22 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Benefactor with 119lbs at $2.80. The run before that rolled along in front before being edged out 2nd of 7 at Otaki on July 30 over 1m, on a wet track, 4.5 len behind Benefactor with 119lbs at $3.40. Tough to beat on latest and can measure up again.
11	Racing well recently. Comes off a 56 day let-up. Most recently 2nd of 15 at Te Rapa on July 25 over 1m, in the wet, 0.1 len behind Diamond Jak with 119lbs at $6.30. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Hawera on July 11 over 1m, on heavy track, 2.75 len behind Wheelitin carrying 121lbs at $2.10. Continues to impress and gets his chance to break through. 2nd Pick 11 Cheval De Foudre Jockey: Chris Dell Trainer: Mark Oulaghan J: Chris Dell T: Mark Oulaghan	45	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Comes off a 56 day let-up. Most recently 2nd of 15 at Te Rapa on July 25 over 1m, in the wet, 0.1 len behind Diamond Jak with 119lbs at $6.30. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Hawera on July 11 over 1m, on heavy track, 2.75 len behind Wheelitin carrying 121lbs at $2.10. Continues to impress and gets his chance to break through.
5	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming got back early 4th in a small field at Otaki on July 30 over 5 ½f, on a wet track, 3 len behind Tolstoy with 130lbs at $5.20. Last start 4th of 10 at Wanganui on August 29 over 6f, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Belles Beau with 126lbs at $15.50. Certainly worth following up. 3rd Pick 5 Freddie Time Jockey: Lisa Allpress Trainer: Howie Mathews J: Lisa Allpress T: Howie Mathews	101	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming got back early 4th in a small field at Otaki on July 30 over 5 ½f, on a wet track, 3 len behind Tolstoy with 130lbs at $5.20. Last start 4th of 10 at Wanganui on August 29 over 6f, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Belles Beau with 126lbs at $15.50. Certainly worth following up.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.