NZ - Trentham - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

119.5K

VIEW

Verdict

HINEKAHA (3) drops back in grade after finishing four lengths behind Legarto in the Herbie Dyke Stakes at Te Rapa over 1 ¼m. She won't mind dropping back to a mile, and from her good draw, she can settle close to the pace, making her hard to beat in this. SHE'S A DEALER (11) is racing well and closed nicely late when finishing a game fourth in the Aotearoa Classic at Ellerslie over a mile just over 5 weeks ago. She stays at the trip and will be strong late. Stick with her. Can win. AFTERNOON SIESTA (13) went close to winning as the favourite when stepping up to 1m for the first time at this track, only to be edged out late by a very smart type. She drops down in the weights, and with Kelly Myers aboard again, she is sure to be right in the finish again. HI YO SASS BOMB (2) was a brave third in the Wairarapa Thoroughbred Breeders' Stakes at Tauherenikau just over 3 weeks ago. She will be peaking third up and can win on a wet track. MAROTIRI MOLLY (1) is as honest as they come.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	At the latest run led to the turn then faded 6th of 9 at Te Rapa in the G1 Herbie Dyke on February 7 over 1 ¼m, slow going 4 len behind Legarto with 126lbs at $8.30. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 16 at Ellerslie in the G3 Aotearoa Clssc on January 24 over 1m, slow going 0.3 len behind Tuxedo carrying 122lbs at $6.90. Suited here and certainly worth following up. 1st Pick 3 Hinekaha Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Craig Grylls T: Andrew Forsman	138	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At the latest run led to the turn then faded 6th of 9 at Te Rapa in the G1 Herbie Dyke on February 7 over 1 ¼m, slow going 4 len behind Legarto with 126lbs at $8.30. The race before that held ground to the line 2nd of 16 at Ellerslie in the G3 Aotearoa Clssc on January 24 over 1m, slow going 0.3 len behind Tuxedo carrying 122lbs at $6.90. Suited here and certainly worth following up.
11	Recent form sound. Returns from a 36-day let-up. Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 4th of 16 at Ellerslie in the G3 Aotearoa Clssc on January 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Tuxedo carrying 122lbs at $7.10. The start before that 4th of 11 at Ellerslie in the G2 Rich Hill Mile on January 1 over 1m, slow going 1.0 len behind Queen Zou with 117lbs at $3.30. Huge chance on best figures. 2nd Pick 11 She's A Dealer Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: George Rooke T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	105	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Returns from a 36-day let-up. Most recently made some head-way from midfield, 4th of 16 at Ellerslie in the G3 Aotearoa Clssc on January 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Tuxedo carrying 122lbs at $7.10. The start before that 4th of 11 at Ellerslie in the G2 Rich Hill Mile on January 1 over 1m, slow going 1.0 len behind Queen Zou with 117lbs at $3.30. Huge chance on best figures.
13	Form hard to fault. Comes off a 29 day let-up. Most recently 2nd of 15 at this track on January 31 over 1m, slow going 0.5 len behind Anderson Bridge with 127lbs at $2.40. The run before that favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, scored a big 3.5 len win at this track January 3 over 7f on a soft track defeating Jungle Jane carrying 120lbs at $2.20. Beautifully drawn and can make amends. 3rd Pick 13 Afternoon Siesta Jockey: Kelly Myers Trainer: John Bary J: Kelly Myers T: John Bary	78	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Comes off a 29 day let-up. Most recently 2nd of 15 at this track on January 31 over 1m, slow going 0.5 len behind Anderson Bridge with 127lbs at $2.40. The run before that favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, scored a big 3.5 len win at this track January 3 over 7f on a soft track defeating Jungle Jane carrying 120lbs at $2.20. Beautifully drawn and can make amends.

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