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1:25 AM

NZ - Trentham - Race 5

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
19.9f
Unknown
Turf
SOFT 6
23.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NEVER LOOK BACK (9) won his second hurdle start for 6 attempts when winning at Whanganui nearly 4 weeks ago by 6 lengths as the favourite in a dominant performance. He has improved this year in that role, and he will have no problems adapting to the steeples here. Stick with him on top. BRUCIE (7) has probably not lived up to his potential in this role, and he has often chanced his fences at a vital stage. He benefits from a 7lbs claim, and his peak effort would take him close to winning this. SUPER FLASH (6) was a game runner-up at Whanganui over the hurdles last start, and he will be at his peak fitness now for his first attempt at the steeples. Each way value. INVISIBLE SPIRIT (2) has been tuned up for a return to the steeples with his last 2 runs being over the hurdles. He has already won in this role, and with his pace on the flat, he is a top 4 chance in this. NEDWIN (1) has been a top jumper for a long time, and he loves this track. Don't risk him.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Never Look Back silk

Useful gelding. Last to post a big 6 len win. Wanganui on May 10 over 1m on rain affected going defeating Red Ned with 153lbs at $4.80 in a jumps. Run before sat on the speed and boxed on steadily finished fifth of 9 starters at Woodville on April 29 over 1 5/16m, on slow going 3 len behind Rusty Lane with 128lbs at $20.10. Has been racing well. Can add to the recent impressive result.

1st Pick
9

Never Look Back

Jockey: Emily J Farr

Trainer: Gail Temperton

J: Emily J Farr

T: Gail Temperton

245---23%7/2

Analysis

Useful gelding. Last to post a big 6 len win. Wanganui on May 10 over 1m on rain affected going defeating Red Ned with 153lbs at $4.80 in a jumps. Run before sat on the speed and boxed on steadily finished fifth of 9 starters at Woodville on April 29 over 1 5/16m, on slow going 3 len behind Rusty Lane with 128lbs at $20.10. Has been racing well. Can add to the recent impressive result.

7
Brucie silk

Racing second-up today. First-up after eight months finished fourth of 8 starters at Wanganui on May 10 over 2 5/16m, slow track, 9 len behind Fourty Eight with 143lbs at $5.80. Previously second-up finished fifth of 12 starters at Wanganui on June 14 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 9 len behind Identikit with 129lbs at $29.50. Fitter and sure to improve sharply.

2nd Pick
7

Brucie

Jockey: Billy Marshall

Trainer: Raymond Connors

J: Billy Marshall

T: Raymond Connors

82---14%13/2

Analysis

Racing second-up today. First-up after eight months finished fourth of 8 starters at Wanganui on May 10 over 2 5/16m, slow track, 9 len behind Fourty Eight with 143lbs at $5.80. Previously second-up finished fifth of 12 starters at Wanganui on June 14 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 9 len behind Identikit with 129lbs at $29.50. Fitter and sure to improve sharply.

6
Super Flash silk

Last run finished second of 8 runners at Wanganui on May 10 over 2 5/16m, slow track, 4.5 len behind Fourty Eight carrying 143lbs at $11.60. The run before finished seventh of 13 runners at Woodville on April 29 over 1m, on slow going 5 len behind Lord Spencer carrying 143lbs at $44.50. Sure to improve again. On his best jumping form is sure to prove hard to beat.

3rd Pick
6

Super Flash

Jockey: Joshua Parker

Trainer: Mark Oulaghan

J: Joshua Parker

T: Mark Oulaghan

92---13%7/1

Analysis

Last run finished second of 8 runners at Wanganui on May 10 over 2 5/16m, slow track, 4.5 len behind Fourty Eight carrying 143lbs at $11.60. The run before finished seventh of 13 runners at Woodville on April 29 over 1m, on slow going 5 len behind Lord Spencer carrying 143lbs at $44.50. Sure to improve again. On his best jumping form is sure to prove hard to beat.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.