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2:29 AM

NZ - Trentham - Race 5

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
23.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

RIDEFROMTHEASHES (2) was solid when third two back at Ellerslie but didn't fire last time there over 1m, finishing seventh as the favourite in another strong field. He is much better placed in this, and with Craig Grylls back in the saddle, he is the one to beat. LA PRIMA DAMA (7) hasn't been seen since a 1m win at Wanganui in late spring. She is lightly raced and has been tuned up by a recent winning trial. If 7f is not already too short for her, she can take this out. Check the market. VESPHIRE (9) hasn't won for some time but wasn't far away when fourth over 1m at Tauherenikau on February 6. With her racing style, she often needs luck, but if the gaps come at the right time, she can have the last say here. PADDY THE FARMER (6) was placed two back at this track before a below-par effort over 7f here last time out. He has the ability and is worth another chance. BEAN A PLEASURE (4) was a deserved winner at Otaki 3 weeks ago, and she can upgrade her modest track stats.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Ridefromtheashes silk

Comes off a 29 day let-up. At the latest run raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 13 at Ellerslie on January 31 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Sorghaghtani with 121lbs at $4.10. The race before that 3rd of 10 at Ellerslie on January 1 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Romilly with 121lbs at $5.70. Well placed. Rates highly here and expected to do much better.

1st Pick
2

Ridefromtheashes

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Ben & Ryan Foote

J: Craig Grylls

T: Ben & Ryan Foote

89---40%6/4

Analysis

Comes off a 29 day let-up. At the latest run raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 13 at Ellerslie on January 31 over 1m, slow going 4 len behind Sorghaghtani with 121lbs at $4.10. The race before that 3rd of 10 at Ellerslie on January 1 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Romilly with 121lbs at $5.70. Well placed. Rates highly here and expected to do much better.

7
La Prima Dama silk

Resuming after three months in the paddock. Finished off last campaign by nose Wanganui Mdn-Sw November 29 over 1m slow track defeating Nightowl carrying 122lbs at $5. Previously first up, sixth of 15 at Ellerslie November 4 over 1m, soft track, 2.75 len behind Toruk Makto carrying 125lbs at $36.80. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Everything points to a bright return.

2nd Pick
7

La Prima Dama

Jockey: George Rooke

Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

J: George Rooke

T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

63---20%4/1

Analysis

Resuming after three months in the paddock. Finished off last campaign by nose Wanganui Mdn-Sw November 29 over 1m slow track defeating Nightowl carrying 122lbs at $5. Previously first up, sixth of 15 at Ellerslie November 4 over 1m, soft track, 2.75 len behind Toruk Makto carrying 125lbs at $36.80. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Everything points to a bright return.

9
Vesphire silk

Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 9 at Tauherenikau on February 6 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Leica Ripa with 125lbs at $3.90. The start before that 4th of 9 at Ruakaka on January 6 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind New Castle carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Will prove hard to beat again.

3rd Pick
9

Vesphire

Jockey: Samantha Collett

Trainer: Ralph Manning

J: Samantha Collett

T: Ralph Manning

62---12%8/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 9 at Tauherenikau on February 6 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Leica Ripa with 125lbs at $3.90. The start before that 4th of 9 at Ruakaka on January 6 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind New Castle carrying 128lbs at $6.50. Will prove hard to beat again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.