NZ - Trentham - Race 5

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

10.4f

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

29.1K

VIEW

Verdict

TISSE (4) was an impressive winner over this trip at Ellerslie in his penultimate start, and then charged home too late over a mile at Otaki 2 weeks ago, finishing runner-up by a nose. He steps back up to a middle-distance and is the one to beat again. IDENTIKIT (6) came home strongly from near last to score over 1 ½m at Trentham 2 starts back and then was fifth as a short-priced favourite over 1 ¼m at Whanganui 22 days ago. If the tempo is more genuine this time, then she is good enough to have the final say. BATTLE SECRET (3) whacked away soundly for seventh in the Whanganui Cup just over 2 weeks ago, and only needs some cut in the ground to be a solid each-way chance here. COMEDY (5) can mix his form, but he did seem to appreciate the weight drop when running into second-place at Whanganui last time out. He likes this track and should be thereabouts again. OPAWA JACK (2) did not have much luck from a wide gate in the Whanganui Cup, stick with him from a superior draw here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 9 at Otaki on November 30 over 1m, nose behind Electron with 119lbs at $4.40. Before that won by 0.5 len at Ellerslie October 18 over 1 5/16m defeating I Park carrying 130lbs at $3.20. Rates highly. Leading prospect. 1st Pick 4 Tisse Jockey: Kelly Myers Trainer: Allan Sharrock J: Kelly Myers T: Allan Sharrock	94	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 9 at Otaki on November 30 over 1m, nose behind Electron with 119lbs at $4.40. Before that won by 0.5 len at Ellerslie October 18 over 1 5/16m defeating I Park carrying 130lbs at $3.20. Rates highly. Leading prospect.
6	Last start 5th of 7 at Wanganui on November 22 over 1 ¼m, slow going 3.5 len behind Royal Flower with 119lbs at $2.30. Before that favourite, settled well back, won by 0.8 len at this track October 26 over 1 ½m on a rain affected track defeating My Alibi with 125lbs at $8. Deserves another chance. 2nd Pick 6 Identikit Jockey: Bruno Queiroz Trainer: Lisa Latta J: Bruno Queiroz T: Lisa Latta	101	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Last start 5th of 7 at Wanganui on November 22 over 1 ¼m, slow going 3.5 len behind Royal Flower with 119lbs at $2.30. Before that favourite, settled well back, won by 0.8 len at this track October 26 over 1 ½m on a rain affected track defeating My Alibi with 125lbs at $8. Deserves another chance.
3	At the latest run 6th of 14 at Wanganui in the LR Wanganui Cup on November 29 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Tshiebwe with 119lbs at $25. The race before that eased back early on 8th of 10 at Tauherenikau on November 1 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Agera carrying 127lbs at $20.20. Has ability and can bounce back. 3rd Pick 3 Battle Secret Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Bill Thurlow And Sam O'malley J: Craig Grylls T: Bill Thurlow And Sam O'malley	121	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 14 at Wanganui in the LR Wanganui Cup on November 29 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Tshiebwe with 119lbs at $25. The race before that eased back early on 8th of 10 at Tauherenikau on November 1 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Agera carrying 127lbs at $20.20. Has ability and can bounce back.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.