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12:50 midnight

NZ - Trentham - Race 4

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
5f
Unknown
Turf
SOFT 6
20.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SHAMELIA KIRK (6) won a pair of Foxton trials impressively before finishing runner-up as a warm favourite on debut at Woodville just over 5 weeks ago when trying to make all the running over 5 ½f. Dropping back to 5f should help here, and she can take them all the way this time. Follow your money. HIDDEN SPARK (10) makes her debut from an astute stable with no public trials. The New Plymouth track does hold local jump-outs, and she has had experience there, and using the market as our best guide is the wide choice. ALONOTAS (3) was very disappointing on debut in the spring, and will be a lot stronger this year. His trial form suggests that he has ability, and he can be a rapid improver fresh up. THUNDER SQUIRREL (5) was runner-up in his only public trial, and he is bred to swim in wet ground. He has a reasonable draw, and if not too green, he can figure in the top 3 on debut. MR CHOW (1) has the race-day experience, and he is open to further improvement. Include in all combos.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Shamelia Kirk silk

Was well-supported at debut, tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 10 at Woodville on April 29 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.1 len behind O'baby with 122lbs at $2.60. Strong chance.

1st Pick
6

Shamelia Kirk

Jockey: Jim Chung

Trainer: Robbie Patterson

J: Jim Chung

T: Robbie Patterson

147---40%6/4

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 10 at Woodville on April 29 over 5 ½f, slow going 1.1 len behind O'baby with 122lbs at $2.60. Strong chance.

10
Hidden Spark silk

Two-year-old filly by Bivouac out of Infliction having her first start. Not seen publicly in trials. Will pay to watch for a betting push.

2nd Pick
10

Hidden Spark

Jockey: Triston Moodley

Trainer: Allan Sharrock

J: Triston Moodley

T: Allan Sharrock

75---34%2/1

Analysis

Two-year-old filly by Bivouac out of Infliction having her first start. Not seen publicly in trials. Will pay to watch for a betting push.

3
Alonotas silk

Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when ran last in a small field at Tauherenikau 2yo SWP on November 9 over 5f, on a slow track, 11 len behind Lassified with 126lbs at $7.50. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign.

3rd Pick
3

Alonotas

Jockey: Bruno Queiroz

Trainer: Kevin & Stephen Gray

J: Bruno Queiroz

T: Kevin & Stephen Gray

98---7%15/1

Analysis

Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when ran last in a small field at Tauherenikau 2yo SWP on November 9 over 5f, on a slow track, 11 len behind Lassified with 126lbs at $7.50. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.