NZ - Trentham - Race 4

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

23.9K

VIEW

Verdict

ANDERSON BRIDGE (1) has thrived since relocating to NZ from Australia, and he impressed when scoring by half a length here over this distance last start, nearly a month ago. He meets a similar tough field, but he has a better gate, and the extra 7lbs may not be enough to stop him from winning again. LEICA RIPA (8) is an exciting prospect in her first campaign, winning her past 2 starts, the latest a very smart effort over 1m at Tauherenikau when scoring by a length. Hard to beat again. ARKSEY (6) was sixth but not far away when resuming over 1m at Otaki. He strips fitter, and would only need a wet track to make it very interesting for the top 2 pick. Stick with him. HOORAH HENRY (3) stormed home to win over 1m at this track last time. His strong association with Samantha Collett is a big plus, and he shapes as an each-way hope again in a very strong field. NANCY SHE WROTE (2) is very capable on her day, so don't rule her out of a top 4 finish here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Returns from a 29-day let-up. Last start won by a 0.5 len at this track January 31 over 1m on a soft track defeating Afternoon Siesta with 125lbs at $3.70. The run before that 5th of 10 at this track on January 17 over 7f, slow going 0.8 len behind Connello with 125lbs at $2.80. Capable of taking this out. 1st Pick 1 Anderson Bridge Jockey: Bruno Queiroz Trainer: Kevin & Stephen Gray, Copper Belt Lodge J: Bruno Queiroz T: Kevin & Stephen Gray, Copper Belt Lodge	115	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Returns from a 29-day let-up. Last start won by a 0.5 len at this track January 31 over 1m on a soft track defeating Afternoon Siesta with 125lbs at $3.70. The run before that 5th of 10 at this track on January 17 over 7f, slow going 0.8 len behind Connello with 125lbs at $2.80. Capable of taking this out.
8	Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, won by 1.0 len at Tauherenikau February 6 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Say I Do carrying 128lbs at $3.10. The race before that favourite, won by a long-neck at Otaki January 9 over 7f defeating Bak De Ace carrying 125lbs at $4. Key chance expected to feature. 2nd Pick 8 Leica Ripa Jockey: Matthew Cameron Trainer: Fraser Auret J: Matthew Cameron T: Fraser Auret	109	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Most recently favourite, won by 1.0 len at Tauherenikau February 6 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Say I Do carrying 128lbs at $3.10. The race before that favourite, won by a long-neck at Otaki January 9 over 7f defeating Bak De Ace carrying 125lbs at $4. Key chance expected to feature.
6	Second-up. First-up after four months 6th of 9 at Otaki on February 8 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Sevenayes with 121lbs at $6.20. Previously second-up won by a neck at Hawera October 4 over 1m in heavy going defeating Ready Response with 123lbs at $4.10. Thereabouts last start and looks a definite winning hope. 3rd Pick 6 Arksey Jockey: Liam Kauri Trainer: Harvey Wilson J: Liam Kauri T: Harvey Wilson	98	-	-	-	7%	15/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months 6th of 9 at Otaki on February 8 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Sevenayes with 121lbs at $6.20. Previously second-up won by a neck at Hawera October 4 over 1m in heavy going defeating Ready Response with 123lbs at $4.10. Thereabouts last start and looks a definite winning hope.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.