NZ - Trentham - Race 3

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

23.0K

VIEW

Verdict

TOO SWEET (9) did not have all favours in 2 starts earlier in the year, and was put aside to further mature. She resumes without a trial, but she is in good hands, and well worth each-way consideration. TESTING (6) seems to prefer it when the ground is heavy, and if she strikes such conditions here, then she is an each-way hope. CLASSY BRAHMA (4) may not win often, but she is a great money spinner, finishing in the money in 12 of her 15 career starts. Stick with her. CARLOW (2) fought on well enough when finishing sixth over 6 ¾f at Whanganui 3 weeks ago, and dropping back to 5f will suit him. Each way claims in this field. FALCRESTS BELLE (7) is a talented and lightly tried 5YO mare, who will be ready to rumble fresh up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Second-up. First-up after five months won by 0.8 len at Awapuni Synthetic on August 30 over 5f defeating So We Go with 125lbs at $2. Previously second-up 3rd in a small field at this track on October 18 over 6f, in the wet, 2 len behind Yamal carrying 122lbs at $2.80. Back in great shape and a bold showing is expected. 1st Pick 5 Sierra Leone Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Johno Benner J: Non Runner T: Johno Benner	95	-	-	-	13%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months won by 0.8 len at Awapuni Synthetic on August 30 over 5f defeating So We Go with 125lbs at $2. Previously second-up 3rd in a small field at this track on October 18 over 6f, in the wet, 2 len behind Yamal carrying 122lbs at $2.80. Back in great shape and a bold showing is expected.
9	Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation second last of 7 at Wanganui April 18 over 6 ¾f, on heavy track, 7 len behind Kereti carrying 125lbs at $2.80. When resuming last campaign eighth of 13 at this track 3yo SWP March 28 over 6f, soft track, 2.25 len behind Lady Iris carrying 126lbs at $18.50. Expected to prove hard to beat. 2nd Pick 9 Too Sweet Jockey: Kelly Myers Trainer: Roydon Bergerson J: Kelly Myers T: Roydon Bergerson	78	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Mare returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation second last of 7 at Wanganui April 18 over 6 ¾f, on heavy track, 7 len behind Kereti carrying 125lbs at $2.80. When resuming last campaign eighth of 13 at this track 3yo SWP March 28 over 6f, soft track, 2.25 len behind Lady Iris carrying 126lbs at $18.50. Expected to prove hard to beat.
8	Second-up. First-up after four months ran on from midfield, 3rd of 13 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind With A Vengeance carrying 126lbs at $5.40. Previously second-up 7th of 13 in a 3yo SWP at this track on March 28 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind Lady Iris with 121lbs at $9.10. Fitter and worth following up. 3rd Pick 8 Party Time Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Cody Cole J: Non Runner T: Cody Cole	81	-	-	-	34%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months ran on from midfield, 3rd of 13 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind With A Vengeance carrying 126lbs at $5.40. Previously second-up 7th of 13 in a 3yo SWP at this track on March 28 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind Lady Iris with 121lbs at $9.10. Fitter and worth following up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.