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12:14 midnight

NZ - Trentham - Race 3

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
12.4f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 6
23.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

HAPPY STAR (3) resumed from a spell on the flat at New Plymouth and just followed the field around for practice. It will be a different story over the hurdles, and this very accomplished jumper will go close to taking this out. HILL OF KINGS (4) is another very good hurdler who needed his fresh up run on the flat at Woodville just over 5 weeks ago. He loves it heavy, and if he doesn't need this run as well, then he is expected to be very competitive. BILLY BOY (2) was the jumping find of last year, and his form on the flat this year has been very good bar his last run at Whanganui when not having much luck. He is well placed after a 4lbs claim, and he can win this. SO CALL ME (8) made a good job of both of his hurdle starts to date, and he will be spot on with his fitness after 3 runs back from a spell on the flat. His strong track record makes him hard to beat here. DICTATION (1) is a top class hurdler who strips fitter after his fresh up run on the flat. Don't risk him. Can win.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Happy Star silk

Racing second-up today. Fresh up after nine months finished seventh of 8 starters at New Plymouth Raceway on May 23 over 1 ¼m, on slow going 2.25 len behind Ortem Legacy carrying 130lbs at $37. Previously second-up made ground from midfield, finished third in a small field at Otaki on July 8 over 1m, on rain affected going, 8 len behind Pride Of Aspen carrying 132lbs at $12.40. Honest jumper with five wins and five minor placings from 14 starts over the obstacles.

1st Pick
3

Happy Star

Jockey: Emily J Farr

Trainer: Kevin Myers

J: Emily J Farr

T: Kevin Myers

111---14%13/2

Analysis

Racing second-up today. Fresh up after nine months finished seventh of 8 starters at New Plymouth Raceway on May 23 over 1 ¼m, on slow going 2.25 len behind Ortem Legacy carrying 130lbs at $37. Previously second-up made ground from midfield, finished third in a small field at Otaki on July 8 over 1m, on rain affected going, 8 len behind Pride Of Aspen carrying 132lbs at $12.40. Honest jumper with five wins and five minor placings from 14 starts over the obstacles.

4
Hill Of Kings silk

Second-up today. Freshened for 38 days. Fresh up after seven months made some head-way from midfield, finished eighth of 13 runners at Woodville on April 29 over 1m, on slow going 6 len behind Lord Spencer carrying 141lbs at $18.90. Previously second-up finished fourth of 11 starters at Matamata on June 15 over 1m, on a wet track, 3 len behind Because carrying 123lbs at $16.20. Genuine jumper with two wins and two minor placings from six starts over the obstacles.

2nd Pick
4

Hill Of Kings

Jockey: Jay Kozaczek

Trainer: Harvey Wilson

J: Jay Kozaczek

T: Harvey Wilson

77---11%17/2

Analysis

Second-up today. Freshened for 38 days. Fresh up after seven months made some head-way from midfield, finished eighth of 13 runners at Woodville on April 29 over 1m, on slow going 6 len behind Lord Spencer carrying 141lbs at $18.90. Previously second-up finished fourth of 11 starters at Matamata on June 15 over 1m, on a wet track, 3 len behind Because carrying 123lbs at $16.20. Genuine jumper with two wins and two minor placings from six starts over the obstacles.

2
Billy Boy silk

Useful gelding. Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading finished tenth of 14 runners at Wanganui on May 30 over 1 ¼m, slow track, 6 len behind Coney Island carrying 132lbs at $12.70. Run before finished second of 9 runners at Wanganui on May 10 over 1 ¼m, slow track, 1.3 len behind Air Dancer carrying 153lbs at $6.50. Likely to figure on his return to jumping.

3rd Pick
2

Billy Boy

Jockey: Will Featherstone

Trainer: Jo Rathbone

J: Will Featherstone

T: Jo Rathbone

108---25%3/1

Analysis

Useful gelding. Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading finished tenth of 14 runners at Wanganui on May 30 over 1 ¼m, slow track, 6 len behind Coney Island carrying 132lbs at $12.70. Run before finished second of 9 runners at Wanganui on May 10 over 1 ¼m, slow track, 1.3 len behind Air Dancer carrying 153lbs at $6.50. Likely to figure on his return to jumping.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.