NZ - Trentham - Race 2

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

14.6K

VIEW

Verdict

COSMIC DREAM (5) won a pair of trials prior to finishing a game third on debut at Arawa Park 4 weeks ago over 6 ?f. She will be suited by the drop back to 5f from the pole position, and she is the one to beat. PAPER MOON (9) failed to cope with a heavy track at New Plymouth on debut just over a year ago. She won the latest of her 2 trials this season, and with Craig Grylls in the saddle, she will be ready to rumble fresh up. SPARK (3) was not beaten far on debut in the Canterbury Belle Stakes in September. Her connections must think a lot of her, and even without another trial, she can take this out, despite copping a wide gate. NIEMI (6) needed her last start at Woodville 6 weeks ago. She has had a trial since then, so she should be a lot sharper this time. Stick with her on an each-way basis. DARCI DIOR (8) stuck to her task along the fence when finishing fifth on debut at Whanganui after racing handy throughout. Bruno Queiroz picks up the ride, and she won't be far away.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Was well-supported at debut, raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 at Arawa Park on November 16 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind L'aigle Noir carrying 121lbs at $3.30. Looms as a serious contender. 1st Pick 5 Cosmic Dream Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: George Rooke T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	113	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 at Arawa Park on November 16 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind L'aigle Noir carrying 121lbs at $3.30. Looms as a serious contender.
9	Resumes racing after a long spell. Only one run when ran last in a small field at New Plymouth Raceway on December 5 2024 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 11 len behind Almakeitgood with 122lbs at $3.50. Expected to feature. 2nd Pick 9 Paper Moon Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Craig Grylls T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	98	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Resumes racing after a long spell. Only one run when ran last in a small field at New Plymouth Raceway on December 5 2024 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 11 len behind Almakeitgood with 122lbs at $3.50. Expected to feature.
3	Resumes from a spell after only one run when 4th of 12 at Riccarton Park in the LR Canterbury Belle Stakes on September 13 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Miss Starlight with 125lbs at $24.80. Can do better this time in work. 3rd Pick 3 Spark Jockey: Kelly Myers Trainer: Guy Lowry & Leah Zydenbos J: Kelly Myers T: Guy Lowry & Leah Zydenbos	76	-	-	-	42%
Analysis Resumes from a spell after only one run when 4th of 12 at Riccarton Park in the LR Canterbury Belle Stakes on September 13 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Miss Starlight with 125lbs at $24.80. Can do better this time in work.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.