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11:10 PM

NZ - Trentham - Race 1

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
12.4f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 6
11.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ISLAND HOP (2) made a safe but cautious debut over hurdles at Te Rapa nearly 2 weeks ago as the favourite, and finished a game runner-up. He will be better for the experience, and he will also be peaking at the right time for what should be a heavy track. Follow your money. BILLY (4) was a deserved maiden winner on the flat at Hastings on a very testing track last time out, and he will be well schooled for his jumping debut. He benefits from a 4lbs claim, and is likely to have plenty of market support. COMEDY (5) has had 3 runs back from a spell, and he will be well seasoned for his first time over hurdles. He likes it wet, and always had pace on the flat earlier in his career. Follow the market moves. SCOTTY (8) is a maiden on the flat making his jumping debut. He hails from the right stable, and he should give a good account of himself. Each way. PINKERTON (7) will be well schooled for his jumps debut, and as a winner of 5 races on the flat, he will be ready to rumble.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Island Hop silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up ran last in a small field at Tauherenikau on May 3 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Lucullan carrying 137lbs at $19.70. Last start finished second in a small field at Te Rapa on May 24 over 1 ¾m, slow track, 1.75 len behind Doctor Iris with 150lbs at $2.60. Fitter now and making headway every start. Open to improvement and expected to go well.

1st Pick
2

Island Hop

Jockey: Emily J Farr

Trainer: Kevin Myers

J: Emily J Farr

T: Kevin Myers

95---25%3/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up ran last in a small field at Tauherenikau on May 3 over 7f, 1.75 len behind Lucullan carrying 137lbs at $19.70. Last start finished second in a small field at Te Rapa on May 24 over 1 ¾m, slow track, 1.75 len behind Doctor Iris with 150lbs at $2.60. Fitter now and making headway every start. Open to improvement and expected to go well.

4
Billy silk

Recent form impressive for this race. Last start favourite, won by 0.5 len Hastings on May 21 over 1m on heavy track defeating Satomi carrying 129lbs at $4.60. Race before came from midfield, finished fourth of 9 starters at Tauherenikau on May 3 over 1 ¼m, 2.5 len behind Dancing Fantail with 125lbs at $6.10. Impressed last start. Expect he has been well-educated and can bring that form to this new discipline.

2nd Pick
4

Billy

Jockey: Will Featherstone

Trainer: Kevin Myers

J: Will Featherstone

T: Kevin Myers

78---23%7/2

Analysis

Recent form impressive for this race. Last start favourite, won by 0.5 len Hastings on May 21 over 1m on heavy track defeating Satomi carrying 129lbs at $4.60. Race before came from midfield, finished fourth of 9 starters at Tauherenikau on May 3 over 1 ¼m, 2.5 len behind Dancing Fantail with 125lbs at $6.10. Impressed last start. Expect he has been well-educated and can bring that form to this new discipline.

5
Comedy silk

Is fourth-up today and making a debut in a jumps race. Last start finished sixth of 8 runners at New Plymouth Raceway on May 23 over 1 ¼m, slow track, 2 len behind Ortem Legacy with 122lbs at $15.30 and before that finished fifth in a small field at Otaki on April 24 over 1 5/16m, on a wet track, 4.5 len behind Donnybrook with 122lbs at $9.40. Gets a chance to win. Anticipating a bright start to the new phase of his career.

3rd Pick
5

Comedy

Jockey: Hamish Mc Neill

Trainer: Harvey Wilson

J: Hamish Mc Neill

T: Harvey Wilson

105---23%7/2

Analysis

Is fourth-up today and making a debut in a jumps race. Last start finished sixth of 8 runners at New Plymouth Raceway on May 23 over 1 ¼m, slow track, 2 len behind Ortem Legacy with 122lbs at $15.30 and before that finished fifth in a small field at Otaki on April 24 over 1 5/16m, on a wet track, 4.5 len behind Donnybrook with 122lbs at $9.40. Gets a chance to win. Anticipating a bright start to the new phase of his career.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.