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Resulted

NZ - Trentham - Race 1

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
14.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PRECIPICE (3) disappointed fresh up when well found in the market, and racing greenly at Otaki 2 weeks ago. The blinkers going on will help with his wayward tendencies, and he is the one to beat here. ALCARAZ (1) charged home too late when finishing runner-up by a head at Tauherenikau 5 weeks ago over 5f. The extra furlong will help him, and he is long overdue to break through for his first win. RIOMOSA (2) had a tough trip at Whanganui last time out and will be hoping to slot on somewhere closer to the rails this time. He benefits from a kilo claim and can bounce straight back into the money, especially if the track is wet. LEICA RIPA (10) won a trial prior to a fair effort for fifth on debut at Waipukurau, when it was hard to make up any ground. She strips fitter, and can figure in the top 3 this time. CRIXUS (5) has been showing promise at the trials and makes his debut with the benefit of a 7lbs claim. Don't take him lightly, and check the market moves.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Precipice silk

Second-up. First-up after seven months 9th of 12 at Otaki on November 30 over 6f, 6 len behind Hoorah Henry with 129lbs at $5.60. Previously second-up 7th of 10 at Pukekohe on April 23 over 7f, on heavy track, 14 len behind Sacred Combatant with 128lbs at $3.60. Fitter and can break through.

1st Pick
3

Precipice

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Cody Cole

J: Craig Grylls

T: Cody Cole

113---25%

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after seven months 9th of 12 at Otaki on November 30 over 6f, 6 len behind Hoorah Henry with 129lbs at $5.60. Previously second-up 7th of 10 at Pukekohe on April 23 over 7f, on heavy track, 14 len behind Sacred Combatant with 128lbs at $3.60. Fitter and can break through.

1
Alcaraz silk

Second-up. First-up after five months 2nd of 8 at Tauherenikau on November 9 over 5f, on a slow track, neck behind Nedelin carrying 129lbs at $7.20. Previously second-up second last of 10 at this track on June 7 over 6f, on heavy track, 10 len behind Luminance carrying 129lbs at $4.90. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

2nd Pick
1

Alcaraz

Jockey: Erin M Leighton

Trainer: Lisa Latta

J: Erin M Leighton

T: Lisa Latta

152---15%

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after five months 2nd of 8 at Tauherenikau on November 9 over 5f, on a slow track, neck behind Nedelin carrying 129lbs at $7.20. Previously second-up second last of 10 at this track on June 7 over 6f, on heavy track, 10 len behind Luminance carrying 129lbs at $4.90. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

2
Riomosa silk

At the latest run 7th of 12 at Wanganui on November 22 over 6 ¾f, slow going 2.75 len behind Tommy Star carrying 129lbs at $7.20. The start before that 2nd of 14 at Woodville on November 2 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind East End Lad carrying 125lbs at $11. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.

3rd Pick
2

Riomosa

Jockey: Amber Riddell

Trainer: Geoff Haigh

J: Amber Riddell

T: Geoff Haigh

129---8%

Analysis

At the latest run 7th of 12 at Wanganui on November 22 over 6 ¾f, slow going 2.75 len behind Tommy Star carrying 129lbs at $7.20. The start before that 2nd of 14 at Woodville on November 2 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind East End Lad carrying 125lbs at $11. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.